Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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402 WUUS01 KWNS 152001 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0300 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2024 VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 43487849 43627598 43107515 42477560 42097691 42147857 42577917 43197885 43487849 0.02 39668553 39468674 39628959 40319412 41349490 42139493 43089435 43819226 43928813 43168450 42398331 41248325 40268422 39668553 0.05 42779210 43288937 43328802 42928547 42468459 41678418 41198433 40568549 40278673 40188831 40499141 40659219 41059318 42089336 42779210 0.10 41198514 41008606 40798804 40838892 40949024 41189112 41479124 41919120 42169094 42568991 42658916 42698794 42668758 42378638 42098550 41688493 41198514 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46768436 44568563 41128696 40028793 39598870 39479098 39479376 39979644 40929757 44409736 45209640 46149496 47448925 48598858 0.05 44247684 43647539 42617506 41737584 41527834 41687940 42078017 42428030 42708014 0.15 40579223 40639436 41279487 42149488 43019417 43499329 43889174 43888978 43158876 41808904 40799104 40579223 && ... WIND ... 0.05 45237502 44627393 43927314 43407222 42807061 41887040 41367117 41217295 40777449 39337561 38527717 38398138 38678497 38609048 38749279 38659541 38079753 37259945 37030112 37550329 41820752 42950772 45250603 46020477 46000394 45610237 45170067 44859863 45199641 46159497 47149407 48299325 48869304 0.05 31341224 33621166 34241114 34311021 33930974 33330938 31650885 31110881 0.15 42930215 42430110 40719899 39389937 38690083 39250229 41470458 42370458 42810402 42940312 42930215 0.15 44477653 44277503 43637431 42797392 41367421 40787516 40377700 42098020 42788043 0.15 43029417 43939252 44829168 45409053 45208840 44028691 43628554 42838195 42098177 40598279 39718501 39428582 39628958 40329412 41299490 42159486 43029417 0.30 40308598 40128725 40088890 40169025 40229107 40399176 40669238 40989292 41559325 42239291 42969156 43258901 43238726 42788513 42528450 42078436 41508438 40308598 0.45 42489134 42738943 42708865 42688820 42528767 42278725 42098711 41768705 41438711 41118727 40938753 40808845 40928982 41089099 41239174 41599200 42089191 42489134 SIGN 42788515 42558453 42058435 41508439 40298598 40118727 40098901 40249106 40399176 40639230 40989291 41569323 42229289 42729199 42949164 43258905 43238730 42788515 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 42479134 42738943 42678819 42518765 42258721 42058709 41748705 41428711 41128726 40938753 40808844 40938994 41089093 41229173 41579199 42089189 42479134 ENH 41829309 42239289 42949161 43248904 43238729 42798519 42548453 42078436 41498438 40308596 40128724 40088892 40159025 40239108 40399175 40639231 41009291 41569324 41829309 SLGT 42370458 42810402 42940312 42930215 42430110 40739900 39379937 38700083 39240227 41470458 42370458 SLGT 44477654 44277503 43657432 42737394 41357424 40787518 40397699 42098019 42778042 SLGT 43939251 44829165 45389051 45228846 44018691 43608547 42818191 42088178 40568278 39688503 39428582 39618955 40329413 41299488 42139489 43029418 43939251 MRGL 45237502 44627393 43927314 43407222 42807061 41887040 41367117 41217295 40777449 39337561 38527717 38398138 38678497 38609048 38749279 38659541 38079753 37259945 37030112 37550329 41820752 42950772 45250603 46020477 46000394 45170067 44859863 45199641 46159497 47149407 48299325 49099297 MRGL 31471221 33621166 34241114 34311021 33930974 33330938 31650885 31090881 TSTM 32351796 34611793 35611743 36381811 36551879 37211999 38392064 39652132 40052176 40402335 40952392 41592410 42312350 43072161 43401836 43601609 44331461 45891197 46061035 46940961 47981052 48351321 48871456 49441553 99999999 49760528 48640314 47480062 46639910 46179808 46299669 46799559 47319611 47929677 48619769 49399883 99999999 29099431 29599461 30359457 31089383 32059313 33039286 33999183 35029138 35659174 36079313 35889509 35359686 35179844 34980171 35130378 34690552 34560674 34060713 32890689 32170667 31970481 31860336 31440222 30590139 29010069 28040068 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W DBQ 20 WNW JVL 20 WSW RAC 20 SSE RAC 40 WNW BEH 35 W BEH 20 N VPZ VPZ 25 SSW VPZ 45 SW VPZ 35 NE BMI 20 NW PIA 25 NNE BRL 40 ENE OTM 25 SSW CID 15 NNW CID 30 W DBQ. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N OXV 35 SW ALO 50 NE ALO 15 ENE MSN 35 ENE MKE 20 ESE GRR 15 S LAN 15 SSE JXN 30 WSW TOL 30 W MIE 20 ESE DNV 15 N DEC 35 NW SPI 20 NNE UIN 40 NW UIN 35 SSE OTM 25 SSE OXV 20 NNW OXV 35 N OXV. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW TOR 45 W CDR 10 N CDR 50 E CDR 25 N MHN EAR 25 E HLC 55 N GCK ITR 25 NNE CYS 30 NW TOR. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW ART 40 W SLK 40 WNW GFL ALB 25 SW POU 15 NE ABE 15 NNW CXY ERI 50 NNW ERI. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM RST 10 WSW EAU 55 WSW RHI 45 SSW IMT 35 WSW MBL 50 NE MKG 50 ENE MTC 45 N CLE 25 SW MFD 45 SSE MIE 30 SE IND 20 SSE SPI 25 SSW LWD 45 NE SDA 25 ENE DNS 30 N FOD RST. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW MSS 20 NE SLK 30 NNW RUT 15 SSE LEB 20 SSE PSM 15 NNW HYA 25 SSW EWB 10 ENE BDR 15 WNW EWR 15 NNW DOV 25 SSW DCA 10 E CRW 40 SW LUK 10 SSW STL 30 W COU 30 SSE TOP 20 E HUT 45 SE DDC 10 W LBL 35 SSE LHX 15 W RWL 40 ESE RIW 35 WSW 4BQ 35 SW BHK 30 SSE BHK 25 SSW MBG 40 NNW HON 10 S VVV 30 NE AXN 50 ESE BJI 20 SSE INL 40 NNE INL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 WSW TUS 25 ENE PHX 60 SSW INW 10 WNW SOW 30 SSE SOW 35 NNE SAD 45 ENE DUG 55 ESE DUG. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW SAN 10 E PMD 15 ESE NID 55 NNW NID 55 ESE FAT 30 E MER 45 NE SCK 60 SE RBL 25 ESE RBL 50 ESE EKA 10 ESE ACV 15 SSE CEC 30 W MFR 65 N LMT 35 ESE BNO BOI 60 NNW SUN 25 E BTM 25 NNE LVM 10 SW LWT 50 NE GTF 40 WSW CTB 40 NNW GPI 95 NW GPI ...CONT... 115 N OLF 40 NE ISN 40 ESE N60 30 SW JMS 50 NNE ABR 45 S FAR 15 E DTL 35 NNW DTL 20 E GFK 35 WSW HCO 90 N DVL ...CONT... 30 ESE GLS 20 NNE GLS 45 NW BPT 40 W POE 20 N IER 15 S ELD 15 SSE PBF 50 SSE BVX BVX 15 S HRO 20 NE MKO 25 S CQB 25 W CHK 15 S AMA 10 WSW TCC 40 NNE 4CR 35 SSW ABQ 15 WNW ONM 30 SE TCS 30 NW ELP 10 N GDP 10 WNW INK 35 S MAF 60 NE 6R6 30 SSE DRT 80 WNW LRD.