![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
657 FNUS21 KWNS 141545 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1044 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 Valid 141700Z - 151200Z The previous forecast remains on track based on morning observations and latest guidance. Isolated thunderstorms remain likely after 00 UTC across far northern CA, spreading into central and eastern OR through 12 UTC Thursday. Pockets of wetting rainfall are possible, but PWAT values around 0.75 inches and storm motions between 20-25 knots should support the potential for sporadic dry lightning strikes over a region with dry fuels. Other forecast concerns outlined in the previous discussion below remain valid. ..Moore.. 08/14/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0126 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to cross the northern California coast Wednesday evening into Thursday morning, bringing with it forcing for ascent supportive of isolated dry thunderstorms. The greatest chances for dry thunderstorms will be across portions of northern California and southern Oregon. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Forecast sounding profiles still suggest the most unstable/buoyant parcels will originate at temperatures near or colder than 0 C, leaving some uncertainty in charge separation/lightning potential across the Northwest. However, forcing from the shortwave trough should be sufficient enough for at least some thunderstorm development overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning over receptive fuels. ...Dry/Windy... The strongest surface winds supportive of Elevated fire-weather conditions across the Western U.S. will be confined to diurnally/terrain-driven corridors that are too localized for highlights at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$