219
FNUS21 KWNS 151641
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Valid 151700Z - 161200Z

Minimal changes were made to the isolated dry thunderstorm risk area
to expand chances further south into the southern Sierra in line
with recent model trends. Otherwise, the D1 Fire Weather Outlook
remains on track. See previous discussion below for more
information.

..Thornton.. 07/15/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024/

...Synopsis...
Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms will continue to be the
primary fire weather concern across the country for today. Latest
GOES PWAT imagery and recent 00 UTC soundings both show a gradual
increase in moisture content across the Great Basin and central
Rockies. This increase in moisture will modulate the potential for
purely dry thunderstorms this afternoon, with a mix of wet/dry
convection becoming more likely. Regardless, MRMS rainfall estimates
show several dry thunderstorms ongoing as of 06 UTC across parts of
ID and WY. With only a gradual moistening trend expected and
receptive fuels still in place for most locations (mainly anywhere
away from swaths of heavy rainfall over the past 2 days), dry
lightning, as well as gusty outflow winds, will continue to be a
fire weather threat.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$