Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
772 FNUS53 KDTX 051919 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 319 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .DISCUSSION...Low pressure will track across central Michigan this evening then east of Lake Huron by Saturday morning. A lingering trough will support a chance for showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon, mainly north of the I-69 corridor. High pressure will then become established across the eastern Great Lakes Sunday and Monday, sustaining dry conditions across the area. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-061415- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 319 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until 11 am. Isolated showers until 11 am, then scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2 pm, then numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........56-66 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming south in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5590-6090 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest around 15 mph early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (692). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming southwest in the late evening and early morning, then becoming west after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....74-79. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........62-72 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3730-4230 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (492). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming west up to 5 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-061415- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 319 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until 11 am. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2 pm, then numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....74-80. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........56-66 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5010-5510 ft agl. Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (685). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms until 5 am. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....60-65. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........94-100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming west in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming southeast in the late evening and early morning, then becoming west after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....72-76. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........65-75 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3230-3730 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (504). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Max humidity........93-100 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph becoming west up to 5 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......620-820 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-061415- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 319 PM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 81. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........52-62 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4540-5040 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming south 10 to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (594). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....62-66. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....74-80. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Min humidity........53-63 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4410-4910 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (718). Pcpn amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....58-64. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming up to 5 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......560-760 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. $$ SC