Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
161 FNUS53 KDTX 201934 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 334 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .DISCUSSION...Light flow will continue through Monday. Near surface moisture is expected to increase over the next few days - resulting in higher min RH values. High temperatures will be in the lower 80s into the beginning of the week. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected Sunday and Monday afternoon - especially across the Saginaw Valley and Thumb regions. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-202115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 334 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....60-66. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........87-94 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11). Pcpn amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated showers after 2 pm until 5 pm. Isolated thunderstorms after 2 pm. Scattered showers after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....76-80. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........55-65 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5010-5510 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming northeast early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (317). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min temperature.....60-64. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........81-91 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......760-960 ft agl. Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10). Pcpn amount.........None. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........50-60 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming south early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (328). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-202115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 334 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Min temperature.....60-64. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Max humidity........90-97 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9). Pcpn amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers after 2 pm until 5 pm. Isolated thunderstorms after 2 pm. Scattered showers after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....74-80. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Min humidity........60-70 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4090-4590 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (353). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min temperature.....58-62. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Max humidity........85-95 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming up to 5 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl. Transport winds.....East around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8). Pcpn amount.........None. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........52-62 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4640-5140 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (279). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-202115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 334 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min temperature.....58-64. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Max humidity........84-94 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9). Pcpn amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....80-84. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........49-59 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming northeast early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5560-6060 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (305). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Min temperature.....60-66. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Max humidity........84-94 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming up to 5 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....East around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7). Pcpn amount.........None. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Max temperature.....80-84. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........47-57 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming southeast early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5760-6260 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming southeast early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (386). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. $$ MANN