Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
641 FXXX01 KWNP 152201 DAYDSF :Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt :Issued: 2024 Jul 15 2200 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast. # :Solar_Analysis: Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at 15/0937Z from Region 3738 (S09W68). There are currently 12 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. # :Solar_Forecast: Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (16 Jul, 17 Jul, 18 Jul). # :Geophysical_Activity: Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 336 km/s at 15/1646Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 15/2058Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 15/1643Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 128 pfu. # :Geophysical_Forecast: Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (16 Jul, 17 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day three (18 Jul). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (16 Jul, 17 Jul, 18 Jul).