133
FXUS63 KDLH 171909
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
209 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gradual warmup through the week with highs in the low to mid
  80s this weekend.

- Some rain and thunderstorm chances make a return this weekend
  and into next week, but should be localized in nature.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 159 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024

Very quiet week ahead with temperatures warming into the mid 70s
to low 80s which is about 5F above normal. Mostly sunny skies
through the week as high pressure builds overhead.

Moisture will advect in this weekend increasing instability and
thus the threat for popup showers and thunderstorms. Dynamics
are not favorable for strong storms, but lightning is possible
diurnally through the weekend into next week.

Guidance does try to bring some upper level energy down into our
region by midweek which could pose the best shot at more
widespread rain, but even this feature is not consistent among
guidance.

Overall, the lack of a jet stream anywhere in our vicinity will
keep us in a diurnal pattern with minimal impacts.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the period with high
pressure moving in. One-line TAFs. Didn`t include break for
ceilings disappearing overnight, just diurnal cumulus to keep it
simple. North winds may briefly gust above 20 kt here and
there.

&&

.MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/...
Issued at 159 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2024

High pressure will keep wind gusts at or below small craft
criteria through Friday when southwest winds may increase gusts
to 25 knots along the far North Shore. Wave heights of 2 ft or
less are expected until mid-day Thursday, then possibly to
around 3 ft from Grand Marais to Grand Portage Friday afternoon.

For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area
Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Wolfe
AVIATION...Wolfe
MARINE...Wolfe