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Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
252 FXXX12 KWNP 071231 DAYDIS :Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2024 Jul 07 1230 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Forecast Discussion # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached moderate levels. An M1.0 flare was observed at 06/2315 UTC from the SE area of the Sun. Growth was observed in Region 3729 (S04W81, Dao/beta) and Region 3738 (S08E48, Ekc/beta-gamma). The remaining regions were mostly stable or in gradual decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be low over 07-09 Jul, with a chance for isolated M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flare activity. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels over 07-09 Jul. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels through 09 Jul. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters at near nominal levels this period. Total field strength ranged 6-8 nT and Bz briefly reached as far south as -5 nT. Solar wind speeds were steady at around 350 km/s and the phi was positive. .Forecast... An ambient solar wind environment is expected to prevail on 07 Jul. Slightly enhanced solar wind conditions are likely over 08-09 Jul in response to positive polarity CH HSS influences. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was quiet. .Forecast... Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be mostly quiet on 07 Jul. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected over 08-09 Jul, with periods of active conditions likely on 08 Jul, in response to positive polarity CH HSS influences.