507
FNUS28 KWNS 132204
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0502 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

Valid 151200Z - 211200Z

The pattern in the extended D3/Mon-D8/Sat will feature a trough
moving across the northern Rockies into the northern Plains before
deepening into the Great Lakes and eastern US. As this occurs,
strengthening lee troughing will increase surface winds as well as
with downslope warming and drying across the central High Plains.
Southwesterly breezes and relative humidity reductions to around 20
percent will overlap across portions of southwestern and central
Kansas D3/Mon. Fuels in this region are currently too moist to
support risk of fire spread, but fine fuels may experience some
drying. An approaching front will sag southward across southern
Kansas in Oklahoma by D4/Tue with chances for further wetting
precipitation extending into the southern Plains through
D5/Wed-D8/Saturday.

Across the West Coast, high amplitude ridging will return with
drying conditions and very warm temperatures returning. Monsoonal
moisture will largely be scoured out of the Great Basin, residing
across southern Arizona where thunderstorm chances will continue.
Isolated dry thunderstorms may be possible across portions of
northern Arizona/southern Utah, along the northern periphery of the
better monsoonal moisture. Some portions of this region will receive
wetting rainfall in the short term D2/Sun-D3/Mon leading to
uncertainty in the status of fuels. Moisture will linger across
portions of northern California into Washington D3/Mon-D4/Tue, with
potential for a lingering high-based shower or two. A few isolated
dry thunderstorms may be possible west of the Cascades in Washington
D4/Tue-D5/Wed as southerly flow returns moisture across the Columbia
Basin. Overall, coverage and confidence of these threats remain too
low to include any isolated dry thunderstorm areas at this time.

..Thornton.. 07/13/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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