101
FXUS64 KCRP 160755
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
255 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 224 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

Key Messages:

- Heat Advisory in effect from 1 PM through 7 PM for the Coastal
  Bend

- Heat Advisory likely across the Coastal Bend and a chance for
  heat advisory across the Brush Country Saturday

There are only so many ways for us to tell you that it will be
hot. There is a moderate to extreme risk of heat-related impacts
today and Saturday. Please continue to use caution if you are
outside. Take steps to protect your pets and livestock by
providing fresh, cool water and ample shade.

There is a very low chance of showers along the afternoon
seabreeze, but confidence remains too low to include any mention
of this in the forecast grids.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 224 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

Key Message:

-Moderate to Extreme Heat Stress conditions are expected to continue
through next week

The forecast is remaining on track from the previous issuance.
Expect a 500mb high to dominate over the Rocky Mountain region
during the period. This is expected to keep rain chances in check
through the end of the week. High temperatures are expected to
remain in the upper 90s to 105s through the period unfortunately.
This is expected to combine with dew points around 80 degrees which
will yield Moderate to Extreme Heat Stress conditions as heat
indices surge to 110-114 degrees with isolated higher values
possible.

Models are still trying to depict a disturbance riding the periphery
of the ridge around midweek to late week. This could combine with
deep tropical moisture from the Gulf and allow for some showers and
thunderstorms to creep into the area. Will still need to wait on
more model runs though this will continue to be monitored.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1040 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024

Winds remain at moderate levels at LRD and COT, but will weaken
over the next couple of hours. Light winds will then persist for
all sites through the morning, with another increase expected in
the afternoon. Mainly VFR conditions will persist, but could see
brief MVFR VIS at ALI toward morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 224 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

A weak to moderate south-southeasterly flow is expected to continue
through early next week. Generally dry conditions will persist
through early next week across most of the Middle Texas Coastal
Waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    96  80  95  79 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          97  77  97  76 /  10   0  10   0
Laredo           103  78 104  78 /   0   0   0   0
Alice            101  77 100  77 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          94  83  94  81 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla          105  78 105  78 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        99  78  98  78 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       92  83  92  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for TXZ242>247-342>344-346-347.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LS/77
LONG TERM....NP/92
AVIATION...PH