Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
984 FXUS64 KCRP 061109 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 609 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 608 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 - Low (20-30%) rain chances Today, increasing to around 25-40% Monday and Tuesday - Low to moderate risk of heat-related impacts. Please continue to take heat safety precautions. Visit weather.gov/heat for more resources - Increase in Saharan dust concentration will likely cause hazy conditions and reduction in air quality Wednesday through Friday && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1231 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 As this stagnant mid-level pattern persists with an elongated high over northern Mexico and troughing across Texas and a low pressure system over the central Gulf that will retrograde westward bringing a change to the pattern next week. Currently, the remnants of a decaying MCS over central Texas is expected to drift southwestward tonight in response to northeasterly flow aloft. This will result in increased shower chances across our CWA to around 20-30% today. Then as activity continues to move off to the west rain chances Sunday night will drop to generally 10% or less. The aforementioned Gulf low will become an inverted trough as it nears the Texas coast, increasing rain chances (25-40%) Monday and Tuesday mainly across eastern half of our CWA. Temperatures this upcoming week will range in the low to mid 90s through midweek then increase to the mid 90s to around 100 through the end of the week. The increase in temperatures with dewpoints in the mid 70s will result in heat indices approaching 110 towards the end of the week across portions of the Coastal Plains and Brush Country, while the rest of the region will experience heat indices of 100-105. Resulting in a low to moderate heat risk throughout the week. Overnight lows will hover in the mid 70s across South Texas with around 80 along the coast. Finally, a plume of Saharan dust moving towards the TX coast will affect the region with increased hazy conditions generally from Wednesday through Friday, resulting in air quality concerns. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 608 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 A few sites will remain MVFR early this morning before returning to VFR by mid-morning. Once the MVFR sites rebound to VFR, all sites are expected to remain VFR throughout the rest of this TAF cycle. There is a low chance for thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon from 19- 23z at ALI and COT. Calm winds and clearer skies are expected tomorrow night. && .MARINE... Issued at 1231 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 A gentle to moderate onshore breeze (BF 3-4) during the first half of the week will increase to a more moderate (BF 4) south to southeasterly breeze across most of the waters by late Wednesday/early Thursday. Low to moderate chances (20-40%) for showers/thunderstorms are expected through Tuesday, slowly decreasing to near zero by late Wednesday across the waters. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 91 77 91 77 / 20 0 20 10 Victoria 91 75 91 75 / 20 10 40 0 Laredo 96 76 97 76 / 20 10 10 0 Alice 93 74 93 74 / 30 0 20 0 Rockport 89 81 90 80 / 10 0 20 10 Cotulla 95 76 97 76 / 30 20 20 0 Kingsville 91 75 92 76 / 20 0 20 0 Navy Corpus 88 81 89 81 / 20 0 20 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...BF/80 AVIATION...JCP/84