Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
667 FXUS64 KCRP 110548 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1248 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1240 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 - Very low rain chances Friday (<20%); low chance (20-40%) across the Coastal Plains this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1240 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Deep moisture dropped off a bit today, falling back to near normal levels. This combined with some meager Saharan dust into the area kept us mainly dry. The Dust is expected to lift out of the region tomorrow and we`ll have a slight rebound in moisture levels into the region. We`ll also have some energy from a weak mid-level disturbance pushing into the region. This could all lead to some isolated convection, but not expecting too much coverage. Have low (~15-20%) PoPs in the inland Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads associated with the sea breeze. By Saturday, slightly higher moisture will lead to a minor increase in PoPs. While the sea breeze will maintain mainly around 20%, the Victoria Crossroads is closer to the elongated mid-level energy and will hang onto 20-40% there. Similar PoPs Sunday, leaning a little more on the guidance here, but definitely some question as it seems the mid-level disturbance will be exiting, and PWATs are decreasing. Would not be surprised to see Sunday PoPs decrease as it gets closer (still only mainly the Crossroads to begin with). Beyond Monday, any lingering mid-level energy will be moving out and generally drier deep layer air is expected to be in place. This should limit rain chances for much of the week. Have nothing mentionable Temperatures will be on a very slow incline over the next 7 days, but not getting out of hand, only topping out a few degrees above normal west (100-103) by mid-week, and remaining in the 90s east. Heat index values remain pretty seasonal, between 100 and 110. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Have VFR conditions throughout the TAF period across most sites. ALI/LRD expected to have MVFR VSBY/CIG. Tomorrow afternoon and evening have southeasterly winds gusting to around 25-30 knots. && .MARINE... Issued at 1240 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 A moderate to strong southeasterly wind will develop along in the nearshore waters and bays between Port Aransas and Baffin Bay tomorrow. A small craft advisory will be in effect. Through the weekend and into next week, mainly moderate onshore flow is expected. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 92 79 92 79 / 10 0 20 10 Victoria 91 77 91 76 / 20 10 40 10 Laredo 101 78 101 78 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 95 76 96 76 / 20 0 20 0 Rockport 90 82 90 81 / 10 10 20 10 Cotulla 100 78 100 78 / 10 0 10 10 Kingsville 92 77 93 78 / 10 0 10 0 Navy Corpus 89 81 89 81 / 10 10 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 10 PM CDT this evening for GMZ231-232-250. && $$ DISCUSSION...PH/83 AVIATION...BF/80