![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
701 FXUS64 KCRP 170009 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 709 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 344 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Key Messages: - High chance for another Heat Advisory tomorrow across the Coastal Plains, Victoria Crossroads and the Brush Country Not to continue beating a dead horse, but hot conditions will continue through Saturday as upper level ridging holds firm. Above normal temperatures combined with ample moisture will lead to a high chance for another Heat Advisory tomorrow across the Coastal Plains, Victoria Crossroads and the Brush Country. With overnight recoveries remaining poor, a moderate to major risk of heat-related illnesses will continue through tomorrow night. There is a very low chance (less than 15%) of showers along the afternoon seabreeze tomorrow, but confidence remains too low to include any mention of this in the forecast grids. Please continue to practice heat safety. Stay hydrated, take frequent breaks from the sun, avoid strenuous outdoor activities, wear loose and lightweight clothing, recognize the signs of heat stroke and heat exhaustion, and ALWAYS check your vehicle before locking it. Remember your pets too by bringing them inside and providing plenty of water and shelter. Additionally, check local media and government websites for cooling center locations and hours. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 344 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Key Message: - Moderate to Extreme risk of heat related impacts continue next week Persistence is the name of the game for the long-term period as the region will be dominated by a blocking pattern. An upper-level ridge just Lee of the Rockies will keep high pressure anchored to the Southern Plains close to NM/TX border for the first part of the week. Then the pattern may begin to change as the models hint at the block breaking down allowing for an eastward progression to begin towards the end of the period. However, the models have a wide disparity and not much confidence in this change, yet. The week is expected to be hot and dry with no chance for rainfall except towards the end of the week with a low 15-20% chance across the Victoria Crossroads as a weak low-level disturbance approaches from the Gulf concurrent with a plume of moisture, but this will likely ride around the periphery of the high, so not expecting much if any precipitation at this point. Otherwise, the heat and humidity continues to bring a moderate to extreme risk of heat related impacts with heat indices climbing into the 110-114 degree range over a broader area that will encompass much of South Texas by mid- week. Please remember to stay well hydrated, wear light colored, loose fitting clothes and stay in air-conditioning as much as possible. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 704 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Little change in conditions through this forecast period. Mainly MVFR with few clouds. Could see a brief period of MVFR VIS toward morning at ALI, smaller chance at VCT. Winds will be gusty west this evening, then increasing to moderate levels for all sites Saturday afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 344 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024 Weak to moderate onshore flow is expected through next week with a very low (less than 10%) chances of rain tomorrow across the offshore Gulf waters. Very low rain chances will start to increase to around 15-30% by the end of next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 80 96 79 95 / 0 10 0 0 Victoria 77 98 77 98 / 0 10 0 10 Laredo 78 103 78 102 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 77 101 77 99 / 0 10 0 10 Rockport 82 95 81 96 / 0 10 0 0 Cotulla 79 105 79 104 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 78 98 79 97 / 0 10 0 10 Navy Corpus 83 92 83 92 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...JCP LONG TERM....BF AVIATION...PH/83