Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
032 FXUS64 KCRP 070537 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1237 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1234 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 - Low (15-30%) rain chances Today, increasing to around 35-50% Tuesday and up to a 45% chance Wednesday around the Victoria Crossroads - Low to moderate risk of heat-related impacts. Please continue to take heat safety precautions. Visit weather.gov/heat for more resources - Increase in Saharan dust concentration will likely cause hazy conditions and reduction in air quality Wednesday through Friday && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1234 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 An inverted trough is progged to move over the Texas coast during the first half of the work week. PWATs will be relatively close to normal, resulting in a low (15-30%) chance of showers and thunderstorms across much of the region Monday. This increases to around 35-50% chance for the eastern half of the CWA Tuesday as the trough axis approaches the TX coast. Precipitation chances decrease Wednesday to around 20-45% as the trough moves further inland and PWATs decline. Precipitable Water values continue to decline through Thursday, leading to mostly rain-free conditions through the end of the work week. Then rain chances increase slightly once again this upcoming weekend through the end of the period to roughly between 15- 30% chances as PVA from the western Gulf wraps around a mid-level low parked over Mexico southwest of our region. Temperatures will hover in the low- to mid-90s region-wide Monday and Tuesday then increase to around the mid-90s to low 100s for the remainder of the forecast. Heat indices will generally range from 100-105 degrees with isolated locales nearing 110 this weekend. Expect overnight lows ranging in the mid 70s across the CWA will push towards the low 80s this weekend. The forecast remains on track showing a plume of Saharan dust moving towards the TX coast that will affect the region with increased hazy conditions from Wednesday through Friday, resulting in air quality concerns. Please visit TCEQ for air quality conditions and follow their recommendations. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 Low to medium chances for MVFR conditions are expected early tomorrow morning from 09-14z before all sites improve to VFR. Once VFR, all sites are expected to remain VFR throughout this TAF cycle. && .MARINE... Issued at 1234 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 A gentle to moderate onshore breeze (BF 3-4) during the first half of the week will increase to a more moderate (BF 4) south to southeasterly breeze across most of the waters by late Wednesday/early Thursday. Low to moderate chances (25-50%) for showers/thunderstorms are expected through midweek, with the higher end probabilities occurring on Tuesday. For the remainder of the week expect up to 20-25% chances across the waters. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 92 78 92 77 / 10 10 30 0 Victoria 92 75 92 75 / 30 10 50 10 Laredo 98 77 98 76 / 10 10 10 0 Alice 95 75 94 73 / 20 0 30 0 Rockport 90 80 90 80 / 10 10 30 10 Cotulla 98 76 98 75 / 20 10 20 0 Kingsville 92 76 92 75 / 20 0 20 0 Navy Corpus 89 80 89 80 / 10 10 30 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...BF/80 AVIATION...JCP/84