Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
540 FXUS64 KCRP 080535 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1235 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 - Potential for minor river flooding along the Guadalupe River at Bloomington through the middle of the week. - Low to moderate (30-60%) rain chances today, decreasing to around 30-45% Wednesday - Low to moderate risk of heat-related impacts especially into weekend. Please continue to take heat safety precautions. Visit weather.gov/heat for more resources - Increase in Saharan dust concentration will likely cause hazy conditions and reductions in air quality Wednesday through Friday && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 An inverted trough currently over the Gulf, just off the Louisiana coast, is slowly progressing westward towards the Texas coast through tomorrow/Wednesday. This feature, combined with PWATs currently ~1.70" dropping to below normal values (~1.50" by Thursday evening) will be the primary driver for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region, particularly in the afternoons/evenings. There is low to moderate (30-60%) chances for showers across the eastern half of our CWA, primarily northeast today, dropping to 30-45% Wednesday. As the week progresses, the inverted trough is expected to dissipate as it moves further west, leading to a reduction in widespread shower/thunderstorm activity with up to a (20-35%) chance of activity across northeast portions of the region Thursday through early next week. Temperatures will remain warm and humid. Expect low- to upper-90s region-wide Tuesday and Wednesday with low 100s out west for the latter half of the week into early next week. Heat indices will generally range from 100-105 degrees with western locales getting up to around 110 starting this weekend. Expect overnight lows ranging in the mid 70s across the CWA early in the forecast inching towards the low 80s this weekend out west. Saharan dust moving towards the TX Coast from the Gulf, will likely lead to hazy conditions and the potential air quality issues from Wednesday through Friday. Please visit TCEQ for air quality conditions and follow their recommendations. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 Typical summertime pattern is expected with this TAF cycle. MVFR/IFR conditions could creep into a couple sites late tonight into tomorrow morning before rebounding back to VFR by mid morning. Once all sites return to VFR, VFR conditions would be expected to prevail for the rest of the TAF cycle. Showers and thunderstorms are possible at VCT tomorrow from 15-21z. && .MARINE... Issued at 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 A gentle to moderate onshore breeze (BF 3-4) during the first half of the week will increase to a more moderate (BF 4) breeze across most of the waters by Thursday with periods of Fresh (BF 5) over bays and nearshore waters late in the week. Low to moderate chances (25-50%) for showers/thunderstorms are expected through Wednesday, with lower chances (<30%) for the remainder of the forecast period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 92 76 93 76 / 30 10 20 10 Victoria 91 75 92 75 / 60 10 50 10 Laredo 99 77 99 77 / 10 10 10 0 Alice 94 74 95 74 / 30 10 30 10 Rockport 90 80 90 80 / 40 10 30 10 Cotulla 98 76 98 76 / 10 10 20 10 Kingsville 92 75 94 74 / 30 10 20 10 Navy Corpus 89 81 89 80 / 30 10 20 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...BF/80 AVIATION...JCP/84