Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
310 FXUS64 KCRP 020546 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1246 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1234 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 - Low to medium (20-50%) on Wednesday. - Seasonably hot and dry for remainder of the week including the Holiday Weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1234 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Today will see one last chances to wrench out high amounts of PWATs (in excess of 2.33" per the 00Z July 2 KCRP sounding). Hi- res models continue to stream chances for showers and thunderstorms northward across South Texas throughout the morning. Similar to as in days prior, brief gusty winds and moderate to heavy rainfalls are the main impacts. The mid-level high pressure system that has brought in bouts of showers/thunderstorms in the last few days will begin to moving westward across Texas through Thursday. This will dwindle chances for precipitation across South Texas heading into the Independence Day weekend, with seasonal heat and up to a Moderate Heat risk. Looking ahead into the upcoming week, a weak inverted trough in the northern Gulf will increase chances for precipitation (20-30%) for tropical-like showers and thunderstorms, bringing periods of moderate to heavy rainfall rates and gust winds. These are looking to be mainly confined to the open waters of the Gulf and along the immediate coastline. Confidence will depend greatly on the location of this inverted trough axis (if location south of Louisiana waters, increased confidence). && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 A mix of VFR and MVFR conditions continues this evening as light showers move northwest across S TX. IFR conditions are possible in and around the heavier convection. The highest chance (30-55%)of rain will be across LRD and COT TAF sites overnight through Wednesday afternoon. Lower (5-20%) chances can be expected across ALI, CRP and VCT tonight through around 14Z Wednesday morning. VFR conditions are expected to prevail across the ALI, CRP and VCT TAF sites after 14Z and continuing through Wednesday evening outside of any isolated convection. && .MARINE... Issued at 1234 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025 Gentle to moderate onshore flow (BF 3-4) and near 3 ft seas persist through Friday night. Winds relax to mostly gentle flow with 1-2 ft swell through the upcoming week. Chances for showers and thunderstorms primarily increase across the open waters from the upcoming week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 90 77 91 78 / 30 10 20 0 Victoria 91 75 91 76 / 20 10 30 10 Laredo 88 77 93 76 / 50 20 10 10 Alice 90 75 91 75 / 30 10 20 0 Rockport 89 80 89 81 / 30 10 20 10 Cotulla 90 77 93 76 / 60 30 30 20 Kingsville 89 76 90 76 / 30 10 10 0 Navy Corpus 88 81 88 81 / 20 10 20 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AE/82 AVIATION...TE/81