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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
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623 FXUS64 KCRP 151055 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 555 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 236 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Key Messages: - Heat Advisory in effect through 8 PM for the Coastal Bend, portions of the Victoria Crossroads, and Jim Wells County. - Moderate to extreme risk of heat-related impacts is expected Friday I would love to tell you that the ridge is breaking down and we are going to have cooler weather for the next couple days, but I`m not a liar, so I can`t. It`s going to be hot...likely even a little hotter today and Friday than it has been. Heat index values will be up to 113 today, resulting in a Heat Advisory for portions of the area. For the rest of the area, conditions will be borderline with heat indices from 105-109. Conditions will be much the same Friday. There is a very low chance of some afternoon seabreeze showers along the immediate coast and over the Victoria Crossroads, but confidence is too low to include this in the forecast. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 236 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 - Continued moderate to extreme risk of heat stress conditions expected through next week With the ridge expected to build into next week, temperatures will remain progged between 95-110 degrees through next week. Combine this with the upper 70s to lower 80s dew points and this will yield heat indices around 110 that will persist across South Texas. A passing shortwave is expected to ride the periphery of the ridge weakening it slightly at the beginning of the week. This at this time isn`t expected to bring any precipitation chances due to the presence of drier air aloft, though it will continue to be monitored in future trends. The ridge is expected to retrograde west and is expected to build back into our area allowing for a steady trend of continued hot conditions with the occasional sea breeze/diurnally driven pop-up thunderstorms through the remainder of the week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 546 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 There is a low chance for brief MVFR ceilings and visibility this morning across the Coastal Plains before VFR conditions return and persist through the rest of the TAF period. Light south to southeasterly winds are expected, with more moderate winds expected in the afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 236 AM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 A weak to moderate south-southeasterly flow is expected to continue through early next week. Dry conditions will persist through early next week across most of the Middle Texas Coastal Waters. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 96 80 96 79 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 96 77 98 77 / 10 0 10 0 Laredo 102 79 104 78 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 98 77 100 77 / 10 0 0 0 Rockport 93 83 95 82 / 10 0 0 0 Cotulla 104 79 105 78 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 97 79 98 78 / 10 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 91 83 91 83 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ234-241>247-342>344-346-347. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...LS LONG TERM....NP AVIATION...LS/77