Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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284
FXUS64 KCRP 112317
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
617 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 612 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

- Very low rain chances Friday (<20%); low chance (20-40%) across
  the Coastal Plains this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1138 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

The Saharan dust has started to diminish over the area, with
moisture increasing through the weekend. Precipitation chances
will increase to a low (20-40%) chance this weekend as a mid-level
disturbance approaches the area. While this will help encourage
convection, the main driver will likely be the seabreeze each
afternoon. The mid-level disturbance will move its way out of the
area early this week, but low afternoon rain chances will
continue through the middle of the week.

High temperatures will range from 90 along the coast to around 102
across the Brush Country. Heat index values will hover between
100-109, though some locations could reach 110 at times.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Primarily VFR conditions are expected through this period, though
have included brief MVFR tempo groups for COT, ALI and LRD toward
morning for another shot of MVFR CIGS, also VIS reduction for ALI.
Otherwise the main story with the tafs will be gusty winds with
dusts of 25-30kt expected for all sites again late morning and
through the afternoon on Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1138 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) winds will continue over the waters
through Sunday, when they will diminish to moderate to
occasionally gentle (BF 3-4). Winds will generally remain moderate
to occasionally gentle through the week, with the exception of the
southern bays and nearshore waters where moderate to fresh winds
will prevail. Small Craft Should Exercise Caution conditions are
expected through the week, with Small Craft Advisory conditions
possible at times, especially across the southern bays and
nearshore waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    79  92  79  93 /   0  10  10  20
Victoria          77  92  75  93 /  10  40  10  40
Laredo            78 101  79 101 /   0  10  10  10
Alice             76  95  76  96 /   0  20   0  20
Rockport          82  90  81  90 /  10  10  10  20
Cotulla           78 100  79 100 /   0  20  10  20
Kingsville        77  93  77  93 /   0  20  10  20
Navy Corpus       82  89  81  89 /   0  10  10  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for GMZ231-232-
     250.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...PH/83