450
FXUS61 KCAR 191950
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
350 PM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain over the area through tonight. A cold
front will approach on Saturday and cross the area Saturday
night into Sunday. High pressure will build across the region
Monday. A frontal boundary will stall across the region Tuesday
into Wednesday.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure will keep the weather calm and pleasant overnight
and through tomorrow. Afternoon fair weather cumulus is
anticipated to dissipate this evening as surface temperatures
cool and the boundary layer stabilizes. Winds will also decrease
overnight, limiting any mixing. Similar conditions expected
tomorrow with sunny skies, possible afternoon cumulus, and an
afternoon breeze. Highs will be slightly warmer tomorrow, in the
low 80s.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A cold front will reach northern Maine early Saturday night, moving
toward the Downeast coast late. Expect a chance of
showers/thunderstorms across northern areas early Saturday
night. A weakening area of showers will then move south across
the forecast area overnight with the cold front. Otherwise,
expect partly cloudy skies north Saturday night. Across
Downeast areas, expect mostly clear skies early then partly
cloudy with a slight chance of showers late. The cold front
slowly moves offshore across the Gulf of Maine Sunday. Could
still have a slight chance of showers across Downeast areas with
the exiting front Sunday. Otherwise, expect partly/mostly sunny
skies across the forecast area Sunday. High pressure builds
across the region Sunday night/Monday with mostly clear skies.
Near normal, to slightly below normal, level temperatures are
expected Sunday/Monday.
&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
High pressure persists Monday night with partly cloudy skies.
A slow moving, or stalling, frontal boundary will reach the
region Tuesday. Uncertainty then exists Wednesday through Friday
regarding the location of the front. Also, low pressure
possibly moves along the front Wednesday. Moisture also
increases along the frontal boundary with precipitable water
values increasing back to 1.50 to 1.75 inches. Expect unsettled
conditions Tuesday into Friday along with a daily chance of
showers/thunderstorms. However, the coverage of
showers/thunderstorms is also uncertain. Due to the uncertainty,
will generally include just shower chances, with only a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Expect near normal level temperatures
Tuesday through Friday.
&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR conditions expected to continue overnight and
through the day tomorrow. Afternoon diurnal breezes will gust up
to 20 kts both days, mainly from the W - NW, but overnight
winds will be calm.

SHORT TERM:

Saturday night...Variable conditions with any showers/thunderstorms,
mostly north. Otherwise, VFR. West/southwest winds 5 to 10 knots,
becoming west/northwest.

Sunday...Slight chance of a shower Downeast. Otherwise, VFR.
West/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots.

Sunday night through Monday night...Variable conditions with any
patchy fog Sunday night. Otherwise, VFR. Variable winds 5 to 10
knots.

Tuesday through Wednesday...Variable conditions with any
showers/thunderstorms. Otherwise, VFR. Variable winds 5 to 10
knots.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: Winds and seas will remain below small craft criteria
through the near term. Marine fog is not expected to reform
during this period.

SHORT TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels Saturday
night through Monday. A slight chance of showers Sunday.
&&

.CLIMATE...
So far this summer has been the warmest on record in Caribou
with an average temperature (June 1 - July 17) of 67.5F. In
Bangor, it ranks as the 2nd warmest summer on record with an
average temperature of 68.4F, behind only 1930 when the average
temperature was 70.7F through July 17th.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for MEZ029-
     030.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$


Near Term...LF
Short Term...Norcross
Long Term...Norcross
Aviation...LF/Norcross
Marine...LF/Norcross
Climate...CB