


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
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391 FXUS61 KBTV 041710 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 110 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will bring dry and seasonably cool temperatures to the region today, with pleasant conditions expected. A warming trend is expected over the weekend, with high temperatures back into the upper 80s and 90s by Sunday. More seasonable temperatures will return next week, with chances for showers and thunderstorms. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... As of 244 AM EDT Friday...After all of the rain yesterday, some areas of fog have developed across the region, although it should dissipate rather quickly as we head towards daybreak. High pressure will continue to build into the region, with seasonably cool and dry conditions expected through the day. Northwesterly winds will continue to usher in a drier airmass, as well as cooler temperatures compared to previous days. High temperatures will climb into the 70s, with plenty of sunshine this Independence Day. Another cool night is expected tonight, with the high pressure overhead allowing for some radiational cooling. Overnight lows will drop into the 50s, with portions of the Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom dropping into the 40s. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 244 AM EDT Friday...Another pleasant day is in store for Saturday as surface high pressure and upper level ridging crest overhead. Temperatures will be several degrees warmer than the previous day, with high temperatures once again in the 80s. Southerly flow will begin to advect a more humid airmass into the region, with dewpoints back into the 60s by Saturday night. This increased moisture along with cloud cover will help keep overnight low temperatures on the mild side, with temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. The warming trend will continue for Sunday, with high temperatures climbing into the upper 80s and mid 90s across the region with dewpoints in the 60s. Heat indices across the area are expected to range in the 90s areawide, feeling quite uncomfortable after a few days of cooler weather. While the heat is not as strong as earlier this season, be sure to stay hydrate and use caution with any outdoor activities. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 244 AM EDT Friday...The warm conditions will continue into the start of next week, before a cold front drops through the region. The front will begin to approach the region Sunday night, bringing some chances for showers near the International Border. The boundary looks to finally push through Monday afternoon, bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms. Looking at some of the model soundings, the environment could be quite favorable for convective development, especially across portions of southern Vermont where high temperatures could climb into the upper 80s and low 90s ahead of the front although there is still plenty of time to see how all of the ingredients come together. Behind this feature, conditions become more seasonable although unsettled for mid-week, with highs generally in the 80s. && .AVIATION /17Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Through 18Z Saturday...Aviation challenge is potential for fog and ifr or lower conditions at SLK/MPV on Saturday morning. Crntly VFR with scattered to broken cumulus clouds at 3500 to 5000 feet agl and northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Clouds will dissipate this evening and winds become light, which should allow temps to reach cross over values in climo favored fog areas. So have utilized tempo`s for IFR/LIFR at MPV/SLK between 06/07z to 10/11z in fog for now. Current confidence in fog is between 40 and 50%, but if confidence increases, prevailing groups can be added. Otherwise, fog dissipates by 12z Saturnday and VFR conditions prevail. Outlook... Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Kremer NEAR TERM...Kremer SHORT TERM...Kremer LONG TERM...Kremer AVIATION...Taber