889
FNUS74 KBMX 062115
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for 721...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
415 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on July 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Rain and thunderstorms are in the vicinity of the 721 wildfire site.
This will result in variable gusty winds over the next few hours with
the potential for heavy rains.
Rain chances decrease later this evening becoming more isolated with fog
development possible overnight into tomorrow morning.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................80 percent.
LAL.................5.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph.
Dispersion index....22.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........75
Weather cov.....DEF
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........DEF
CWR.............80
LAL.............5
Temp............88
RH..............68
20 FT wind dir..N
20 FT wind dir..350
20 FT wind spd..2
20 FT wind gust.6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1
Transp wind dir.N
Transp wind spd.6
Dispersion idx..22
LVORI...........3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening.
CWR.................80 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................5 until 1900, then 2 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east 6 to 7
                    mph overnight.
Dispersion index....11 decreasing to 5 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  65  61  66  79  74  68  88  100 100 100 89
Weather cov.....DEF SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........DEF SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............80  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............5   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............89  88  86  83  80  78  78  77  76  76  76  76
RH..............64  66  70  77  88  91  91  94  97  97  97  94
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind dir..330 320 340 030 050 050 050 050 050 050 050 050
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   6
Dispersion idx..15  7   6   5   4   4   3   3   5   6   6   3
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 2 until 1000, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the north 3 to
                    5 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 25.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91  79  72  59  50  48  73  67  60  59  72  74
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  20  20  20  30  30  30  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............76  77  76  79  84  86  89  90  91  92  91  90
RH..............94  94  97  88  74  70  64  60  58  56  56  60
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE
20 FT wind dir..040 030 040 050 050 050 050 050 040 020 010 050
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   4   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 3.1 3.9 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 3.8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NW  N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..3   2   2   2   2   18  16  19  20  27  28  21
LVORI...........8   7   7   7   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Owen
Requested by...SAIRY NEAL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417531.0/BMX
.DELDT 07/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0