358
FNUS74 KBMX 141802
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Little Hope...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
102 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 CDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible today after
12pm. Otherwise, expect warm and dry conditions to continue.
20ft winds remain light, with a general westerly direction. Minimum
RH values today will be around 40 percent. Isolated rain coverage
will diminish through the evening hours. Overnight, RH values recover
to near 100 percent.

Rain coverage increases each day this week, as moisture increases.
Scattered showers and storms are expected again Monday afternoon,
with light southwesterly winds. Minimum RH values will be above 50
percent Monday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 30 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................2 until 1600, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....44 increasing to 53 late in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 42 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........41     46     49
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
CWR.............20     20     30
LAL.............2      2      3
Temp............95     96     92
RH..............43     40     46
20 FT wind......W 2    W 2    W 2
20 FT wind gust.5      5      6
20 FT wind dir..280    270    280
Mix hgt (ft)....7800   6800   4100
Transport wind..W 5    W 7    W 8
Dispersion idx..42     56     42
LVORI...........1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 2 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph becoming 5 to 8 mph late in the
                    evening.
Dispersion index....30 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........51     57     68     67     55     52
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............30     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      2      1      1
Temp............91     84     80     78     76     75
RH..............49     65     79     88     94     97
20 FT wind......W 2    W 2    S 2    W 1    SW 1   W 1
20 FT wind gust.6      6      5      5      5      5
20 FT wind dir..270    260    180    250    240    250
Mix hgt (ft)....3600   300    500    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 7    W 6    SW 6   W 7    W 7    W 6
Dispersion idx..30     3      4      3      3      3
LVORI...........1      3      5      5      6      9

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning. Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 32 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 51 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 62 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 73 decreasing to 53 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........51     45     31     34     43     55
Weather cov.....              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............10     10     20     20     50     50
LAL.............1      1      1      1      3      3
Temp............75     77     86     91     92     91
RH..............97     90     68     54     51     52
20 FT wind......W 1    W 1    NW 2   W 2    SW 2   SW 2
20 FT wind gust.5      5      5      6      6      6
20 FT wind dir..270    280    300    270    240    220
Mix hgt (ft)....300    800    2900   5600   6400   5300
Transport wind..W 5    W 6    W 7    W 7    W 8    W 9
Dispersion idx..2      3      3      48     62     56
LVORI...........9      6      2      2      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Owen
Requested by...Sairy Neal
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418032.0/BMX
.DELDT 07/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0