Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
337 FONT12 KNHC 080254 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC MON JUL 08 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 910W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) FORT POLK LA 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LAKE CHARLES 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAMERON LA 34 14 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) JASPER TX 34 4 15(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) KOUNTZE TX 34 19 24(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) KOUNTZE TX 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 15 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) GALVESTON TX 34 92 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) GALVESTON TX 50 28 3(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) GALVESTON TX 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HOUSTON TX 34 93 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) HOUSTON TX 50 43 13(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) AUSTIN TX 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FREEPORT TX 50 77 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) FREEPORT TX 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 950W 50 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) GFMX 280N 950W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 54 5(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MATAGORDA TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MATAGORDA TX 50 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MATAGORDA TX 64 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PORT O CONNOR 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) PORT O CONNOR 50 36 X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) PORT O CONNOR 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ROCKPORT TX 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GFMX 270N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 270N 960W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 250N 960W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER REINHART