Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
962 FNUS53 KAPX 041937 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 337 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 ...Little in the way of fire weather concerns... .DISCUSSION...Threat for more rain begins tonight, with fairly widespread showers...some locally heavy...on Friday. Widely scattered lighter showers this weekend, with better rain chances returning the beginning of next work week. Relative humidity values will remain elevated tomorrow well into next week. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-051030- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 337 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....58-63. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (20). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then rain showers and scattered thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....70-75...except 61-66 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........71-76 percent. 24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (212). Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.38- 0.71 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....56-61. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 1 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (49). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.30 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (317). Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-051030- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 337 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated showers. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 82-87 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (20). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then rain showers and scattered thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....74-79...except 61-66 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........67-72 percent. 24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter...except 21 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (278). Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.28- 0.63 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (42). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.36 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (332). Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ020-025>027-051030- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 337 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (20). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then showers and scattered thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....68-73...except 61-66 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........77-82 percent. 24 HR Trend......30 percent wetter...except 36 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (201). Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.34- 0.62 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (51). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.21 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Max Temperature.....70-75...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........62-67 percent. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 18 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (315). Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-051030- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 337 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (24). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then showers and scattered thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........71-76 percent. 24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (280). Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph shifting to the southwest around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.37- 0.78 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....56-61. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (47). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.35 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........61-66 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (396). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-051030- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 337 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers. Isolated thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (24). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then showers and scattered thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....75-80. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........69-74 percent. 24 HR Trend......36 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (394). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph shifting to the south around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.39- 0.68 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (51). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.36 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Max Temperature.....72-77. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (396). Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MSB