Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
365 FNUS53 KAPX 061937 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 337 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 ...Dry Sunday, next chance for storms early next week... .DISCUSSION... Drier conditions expected on Sunday with no precipitation in the forecast. Showers and thunderstorms return later Sunday, with a few strong storms possible Monday afternoon. Light and at times variable winds through Sunday with lake breezy circulations near the immediate coasts shifting to the southwest on Monday. Min humidity will be between 50 and 70 percent most afternoons through this upcoming week. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-070900- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 337 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (21). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except 69-74 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 54-59 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (347). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Min Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (27). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........63-68 percent. 24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (449). Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.20 in . $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-070900- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 337 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Min Temperature.....53-58...except around 60 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (22). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (308). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (37). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....79-84...except 68-73 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 6 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (489). Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.23 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-070900- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 337 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min Temperature.....51-56...except around 60 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (18). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........45-50 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (465). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (30). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........68-73 percent. 24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (367). Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.17 in. $$ MIZ031>033-070900- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 337 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min Temperature.....51-56. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except 72-77 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 56-61 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (543). Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (36). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....75-80. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........67-72 percent...except 76-81 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (409). Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.18 in. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-070900- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 337 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (19). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (491). Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (32). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....80-85. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (557). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.17 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ JLD