354
FNAK79 PAFG 150050
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Gold King Creek 279...Northern Forestry Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
450 PM AKDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Chinook winds continue through the evening and weaken
substantially overnight tonight allowing showers to get closer to
the fire. A low west of the fire will keep bringing waves of
moisture to the fire with scattered showers expected through much
of the week. There is a very small, but non zero, chance of
thunderstorms developing this evening near the fire. Winds will be
generally light with the occasional southwest gust tonight as the
Chinook flow weakens. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH remains
above 35. Additional thunderstorms are possible Tuesday afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
CWR.................16 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....No inversion.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 7 mph in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 12 mph.
Inversion burnoff...No inversion.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the evening.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Inversion setup.....10pm.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the day. Numerous rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...6am.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Matthew Velderrain
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417275.30/AFG
.DELDT 07/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0