Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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805
FNUS75 KTWC 142242
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for FREEMAN...AZ-AZS
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
342 PM MST Sun Jul 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 MST on July 14.

.DISCUSSION...There will be a chance of thunderstorms moving into
the fire area late this afternoon and evening, with another chance
Monday afternoon. Outside of any thunderstorm outflows, winds will
be west to northwest winds through Monday. There will be the threat
of thunderstorm outflow winds which can exceed 50 mph and result in
extreme fire behavior and/or a change in the direction of fire
spread.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy, becoming mostly cloudy. Chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....92-95 degrees.
Min humidity........28-31 percent.
20-foot winds.......West to northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 23 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 knots.

TIME (MST)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  61
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
CWR.............30  40
LAL.............3   4
Temp............93  91
RH..............31  32
20 FT wind dir..W   NW
20 FT wind spd..11  11
20 FT wind gust.16  19
Mix hgt (kft)...8.5 8.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  12
Haines index....3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................4 until 2300, then 1.
Min temperature.....71-74 degrees.
Max humidity........65-68 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
                    23 mph early in the evening, diminishing to
                    5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 16 knots.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........61  61  61  61  61  43  44  32  41  35  35  32
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............40  40  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............4   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............89  85  80  79  78  77  75  75  74  73  73  72
RH..............36  40  50  51  54  56  61  63  66  67  68  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W  W
20 FT wind spd..11  11  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.18  17  17  16  15  15  14  14  12  11  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  15  15  16  15  14  13  12  11  10  10  9
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent in the morning, increasing to
                    40 percent in the afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1100, then 4.
Max temperature.....91-94 degrees.
Min humidity........30-33 percent.
20-foot winds.......West to northwest 7 to 12 mph. Gusts to
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 14 knots.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  24  25  24  22  58  58  58  58  58  58  68
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  40  40  40  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
Temp............72  75  77  80  83  86  88  90  92  91  91  90
RH..............71  65  58  52  46  40  39  37  33  33  32  33
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   11  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.10  11  12  14  16  17  17  18  18  20  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.4 1.9 2.9 3.9 4.9 5.3 5.7 6.5 7.2 8.5 8.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   10  11  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...ZELL
Requested by...MIKE PICKETT
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418047.0/TWC
.DELDT 07/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL AIDCLOGISTICS@DFFM.AZ.GOV

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