Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
509
FNUS55 KTWC 031138
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
434 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...There will be the daily chance for isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly from Tucson east and
south. High pressure aloft will build to our northwest late this
week into early next week, which will result in hot conditions. With
the hotter temperatures and some of the deeper moisture getting
pushed to the south and east of the region, min RH values will lower
into the 10-18% range across the lower elevations and 15-30% in the
higher elevations Friday into early next week. High temperature will
warm considerably late this week through the weekend, with highs 106-
113 degrees from Tucson westward and in the Gila River Valley, and
in the upper 90s to 105 degrees across Santa Cruz and Cochise
counties. Excessive Heat will likely be an issue during this time
frame. Outside of any thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot winds will
generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with occasional gusts to
20-25 mph through the weekend. Early next week there will be the
potential for more elevated wind speeds in the 15-20 mph range,
especially east of Tucson.
AZZ150-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
434 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10200 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 13 knots shifting to the northwest
9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (91800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............9659 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 9 knots shifting to the northwest
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (115908 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 102 to 112.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 103 to 113.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 104 to 114.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
434 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10231 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 5 knots shifting to the north
11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (112541 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 25 mph becoming northeast
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............9722 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (136108 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
12 to 22 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
434 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8893 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 5 knots shifting to the northwest
11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (97823 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph becoming northeast
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12474 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 10 knots shifting to the north
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (149688 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 96 to 106. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 12 to 21 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
434 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13490 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 6 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (188860 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 31 to 35 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15011 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (210154 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 15 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 22 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 87 to 97.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 86 to 96.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-032215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
434 AM MST Wed Jul 3 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11788 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 5 knots shifting to the north 9
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (106092 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 25 mph becoming northeast
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14488 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 14 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (210076 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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