Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
317
FNUS55 KTWC 062155
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
255 PM MST Sat Jul 6 2024
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Hot with a daily chance for isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms south and east of Tucson into early
next week. Excessive heat will be an issue during this time
frame with highs 106-113 degrees from Tucson westward and in the
Gila River Valley, and in the upper 90s to 105 degrees across
Santa Cruz and Cochise counties. With hot temperatures and deeper
moisture getting pushed to the south of the region, min RH values
will lower into the 10-17% range across the lower elevations and
14-25% in the higher elevations into the middle of next week.
Outside of any thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot winds will
generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with occasional gusts
to 20-25 mph through the weekend. The exception will be in the
upper Gila River valley near Safford on Sunday where northwest
winds of 20-25 mph and higher gusts are expected.
AZZ150-071415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
255 PM MST Sat Jul 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............9036 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (135540 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........105 to 115 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............11636 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 knots shifting to the west
13 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (151268 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 105 to 115.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 17 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. Southwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 103 to 113.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-071415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
255 PM MST Sat Jul 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............14 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............9117 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 11 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (164106 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............11112 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 10 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (177792 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105. North wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 11 to 20 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
68 to 78. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-071415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
255 PM MST Sat Jul 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............48 to 58 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. West around 15 mph increasing to
northwest around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............11811 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 15 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (259842 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. West 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 15 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14846 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 11 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (252382 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. East wind around 20 mph. Minimum
Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 93 to 103. Northeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 12 to 21 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 93 to 103. Northeast wind around 20 mph.
Minimum Humidity 13 to 22 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
68 to 78. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-071415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
255 PM MST Sat Jul 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. West around 15 mph increasing to
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13388 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 15 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (321312 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. West 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 11 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph increasing to
west around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph becoming northwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............16314 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 15 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (293652 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 83 to 93. Southeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 82 to 92. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
61 to 71. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-071415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
255 PM MST Sat Jul 6 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12529 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 14 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (206728 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15951 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (231289 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. North wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 82 to 92. North wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 63 to
73. Highs 82 to 92.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
64 to 74. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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