Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
852
FNUS55 KTWC 042113
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
213 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...
There will be the daily chance for isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms mainly from Tucson east and south into early
next week. High pressure aloft will build to our northwest through
the weekend into early next week, which will result in hot
conditions. With the hotter temperatures and some of the deeper
moisture getting pushed to the south and east of the region, min
RH values will lower into the 10-18% range across the lower
elevations and 15-30% in the higher elevations through early next
week. Hot high temperature are expected into early next week, with
highs 106-113 degrees from Tucson westward and in the Gila River
Valley, and in the upper 90s to 105 degrees across Santa Cruz and
Cochise counties. Excessive Heat will be an issue during this time
frame. Outside of any thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot winds
will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with occasional
gusts to 20-25 mph through the weekend. Early next week there will
be the potential for more elevated wind speeds in the 15-20 mph
range, especially east of Tucson.
AZZ150-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
213 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph becoming east
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12950 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 11 knots shifting to the
northwest 9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (116550 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
* Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........105 to 115 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14309 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 15 knots shifting to the west 11
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (157399 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 103 to 113.
Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 105 to 115. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 9 to 19 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 105 to 115. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 103 to 113.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 103 to 113.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
213 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............55 to 65 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 15 mph increasing to around
25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming north around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph becoming east
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13001 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 10 knots shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (130010 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14714 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 10 knots shifting to the north
11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (161854 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 95 to 105. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 9 to 16 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
11 to 21 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 96 to 106.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
213 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 23 to 27 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming east around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 15 mph decreasing to around
5 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14676 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (146760 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13571 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 11 knots shifting to the
northwest 10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (135710 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 98 to 108. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 13 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 20 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
213 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 29 to 33 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph becoming northeast
around 10 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15708 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 9 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (157080 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15332 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 12 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (183984 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 87 to 97. Northwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows 61 to 71.
Highs 88 to 98. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
7 to 12 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
15 to 22 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
61 to 71. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-051415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
213 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............46 to 56 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 20 mph becoming east
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15596 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (187152 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............14727 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the north
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (147270 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 84 to 94. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 87 to 97. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 15 to 25 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
64 to 74. Highs 83 to 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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