Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
474
FNUS55 KTWC 081711
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1011 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...
Today should see the lowest minimum relative humidities of the
week as moisture is expected to gradually push back into
southeastern Arizona in the coming days. Relative humidity values
should fall into the single digits in lower elevations today,
while west to northwest winds of 12 to 16 mph, with wind gusts up
to 25 mph, are expected. Tuesday through Thursday minimum
relative humidities should remain in the 10 to 16 percent range in
lower elevations and 15 to 30 percent in mountain areas. 20-foot
winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with
occasional gusts to 20 mph. Daily chances for thunderstorms begin
to arrive Tuesday, with the possibility of strong outflow winds
under any thunderstorm.
AZZ150-082215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
1011 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........105 to 115 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15031 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 13 knots shifting to the west
16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (240496 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15868 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 12 knots shifting to the west 10
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (158680 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
11 to 21 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 102 to 112. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
15 to 25 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 73 to 83. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-082215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
1011 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 25 mph becoming northwest
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13168 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 12 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (237024 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15663 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 11 knots shifting to the
northwest 10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156630 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 23 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67 to 77.
Highs 93 to 103.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs
90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-082215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
1011 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 12 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15284 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 14 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (275112 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 20 mph becoming north
around 10 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13948 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 18 knots shifting to the north
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167376 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
12 to 21 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
13 to 23 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 24 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs
91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-082215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
1011 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............4 to 8 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15992 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 21 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (335832 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 15 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph decreasing to around
5 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............13989 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 15 knots shifting to the west
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167868 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
14 to 23 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
19 to 29 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70.
Highs 84 to 94.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71. Highs
82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-082215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
1011 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........87 to 97 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 25 mph decreasing to
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............16956 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 14 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (271296 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............17455 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 14 knots shifting to the north
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174550 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. Northeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 17 to 27 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 63 to 73. Highs
84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 63 to 73.
Highs 83 to 93.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71. Highs
80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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