Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
697
FNUS55 KTWC 191104
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
404 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Deeper moisture remains across southeast Arizona,
with typical July moisture levels expected into at least early next
week. This will result in the daily cycle of mainly afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms. The main threats will be strong,
gusty and erratic outflow winds and heavy rainfall leading to
localized flash flooding. Minimum relative humidity values will be
20-30 percent in most lower elevation locations and 25-40 percent in
mountain areas. Away from thunderstorms, 20-foot winds will
generally be 15 mph or less, with afternoon/early evening gusts to
20-25 mph and light winds overnight. Wind direction during the
afternoon hours will primarily be west to northwest through the
weekend, especially from Tucson westward and in the upper Gila River
valley.
AZZ150-192230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
404 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10260 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 8 knots shifting to the north in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (82080 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........101 to 111 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11326 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 knots shifting to the
northwest 11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (124586 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-192230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
404 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8639 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 7 to 8 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (69112 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10882 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 7 knots shifting to the northwest
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108820 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 66 to
76. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 65 to 75. Highs
89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-192230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
404 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10839 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 9 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108390 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............56 to 66 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10023 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 6 knots shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (110253 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 91 to 101.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-192230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
404 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9933 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 9 knots shifting to the north 11
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (109263 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 5 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9120 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (91200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 59 to 69. Highs
79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67. Highs
77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67. Highs
78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 80 to 90.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 58 to 68.
Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-192230-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
404 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph in the morning
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11817 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100444 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............53 to 63 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Showers and
thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11691 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (99373 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 61 to
71. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70. Highs
76 to 86. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 78 to 88. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 31 to 41 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 80 to 90.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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