379
FXUS62 KTBW 081850
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
250 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

We are going through a transition day as the ridge has started to
shift south. This has resulted in a more southerly flow across the
area with the main focus of showers being along the coast in the
early afternoon and inland in the late afternoon and evening hours.

By tomorrow the ridge will be to our south which will bring our
winds southwesterly for the rest of our week. This will bring us
into seabreeze regime 4. This regime typically keeps us a little
drier across our area with most of the storms staying on the east
coast of Florida. The best chance to see the rain along the coast
will be in the early morning hours with early afternoon storms
inland. This shift in winds will also help to keep us a few
degrees cooler which should keep us away from heat advisory
criteria.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Thundestorm activity looks to mainly be in the afternoon along
the coastal TAF sites before shifting inland and towards the east
coast in the late afternoon and evening hours. VFR conditions and
winds mainly below 10 knots outside of thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Southwesterly flow will remain for much of the period
with winds generally staying at or below 10 knots. The best chance
for showers and storms will be in the overnight and early morning
each day.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Summertime humidity and convection will be in place through the
weekend and next week with no fire weather concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  81  91  80  91 /  40  70  40  60
FMY  79  92  78  92 /  10  50  20  60
GIF  78  91  77  92 /  30  70  40  60
SRQ  81  90  80  91 /  20  50  30  50
BKV  76  90  75  91 /  40  70  40  60
SPG  82  90  83  91 /  40  60  40  50

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 5
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte-
     Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-
     Coastal Lee-Coastal Levy-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Pasco-
     Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands-Inland Charlotte-
     Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland
     Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-
     Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...Close
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Close