974
FXUS62 KTBW 050058
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
858 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 858 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

Very hot today, and still in the lower 90s in locations that
didn`t see rain. Showers and an isolated storm continue to pop up
across the central zones this evening, but coverage was not as
much as anticipated for the afternoon and evening. Have updated
pops for the rest of tonight. Light E/SE flow will again be in
place with ridging across the area for tomorrow. No other updates
for tonight.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 858 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

Winds becoming light over the next hour or so, with convection
dissipating. Winds increase as the sea breeze develops with
scattered storms expected starting 18-20Z and lingering through
the end of the period. VFR conditions expected to prevail, but
MVFR to IFR possible in storms.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 858 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

High pressure ridging across the waters will keep light winds over
the coastal waters through the weekend, with diurnal sea breezes
dominating the flow. Scattered storms will be possible each
afternoon and evening as storms push offshore. Current forecast is
on track and have no major changes for the update.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  80  93  80  93 /  30  50  20  60
FMY  79  93  78  93 /  20  50  20  60
GIF  76  94  76  95 /  30  60  10  60
SRQ  78  94  78  93 /  50  50  20  60
BKV  75  94  75  94 /  30  50  20  60
SPG  83  93  83  93 /  40  50  20  50

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 8

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Hubbard
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Flannery