929
FXUS01 KWBC 081915
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
315 PM EDT Mon Jul 08 2024

Valid 00Z Tue Jul 09 2024 - 00Z Thu Jul 11 2024

...Beryl to bring  heavy rain and flooding from the Lower Arkansas
River Valley, northeast into the Middle Mississippi Valley, Lower
Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes...

...Record high temperatures to continue into mid week across large
portions of the west coast, while record high minimum temperatures
stretch from the Gulf coast, northeast along the East coast...

Beryl is expected to move steadily northeastward from eastern
Texas Monday afternoon, across Arkansas on Tuesday, into the Lower
Ohio Valley Tuesday night and into the Lower Great Lakes on
Wednesday. While the wind speeds associated with Beryl will
continue to weaken as it moves farther from the Gulf of Mexico,
the storm will continue to be a prolific heavy rain producer as it
pushes northeastward. Widespread heavy rains are likely along and
to the northeast of the path of Beryl over the next two days with
rainfall totals of 2-5" from far northeast Texas, across large
section of Arkansas, southeast Missouri, central to southern
Illinois, Indiana, far northwest Ohio into the southern portions
of the L.P. of Michigan.  These amounts are on top of the 5 to 10+
inches of rains that fallen along the path of Beryl as it pushed
inland earlier Monday along the central Texas Gulf Coast.  Flood
watches are currently in effect along the path of Beryl from
eastern Texas, northeastward into southern Illinois, affecting
over 15 million people.

No let up expected to the string of record high temperatures being
set across large portions of the West coast.  The mid to upper
level high that has been anchoring the record western record heat
is not expected to change much over the next several days, as it
remains in place, stretching from Southern California/Desert
Southwest, northward through the Great Basin and across the
Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies.  Excessive heat warnings,
watches, and heat advisories are currently in effect for nearly
all of Washington State, Oregon, California, Idaho, Nevada and
southwest Arizona.  Numerous record high temperatures are expected
across these areas over the next few days where high temperatures
will be anywhere from 10 to as high as 30 degrees above average.
In addition to the record high daily temperatures, the early
morning lows are also expected to set records across large
portions of the West over the next two mornings.  Much above
average temperatures also likely to remain in place along much of
the east over the next few days.  While there is not forecast to
be many record high temperatures across the East over the next few
days, numerous record high minimum temperatures are likely from
the eastern Gulf coast, through the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic and
into southern New England.  Heat advisories are currently in
effect across large portions of the South, Southeast, Mid-Atlantic
and southern New England with this likely to continue over the
next few days.

Oravec

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
$$