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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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313 FXUS64 KSJT 061759 CCB AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1258 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 420 AM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 ...Cooler today, with isolated to scattered convection possible this afternoon... Low level flow will be from the east/southeast today, which will result in cooler temperatures across the area. In fact, temperatures today will be near or slightly below normal for this time of year, with afternoon highs mainly in the lower 90s, although a few mid 90s will occur across the Concho Valley. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible primarily this afternoon during peak heating, with the best chance across our southern counties. Convection will end by early evening, with dry conditions expected overnight. Lows tonight will be in the lower 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 425 AM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Low level south-southwesterly flow quickly will increase on Sunday as shortwave ridging nudges in from the west. This will result in temperatures warming back up into the upper 90s to around 102 degrees under southerly winds and mostly sunny skies. Models bring another front down into the Big Country late Sunday evening. A shortwave trough will also dive down into the Southern Plains on Monday. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible from Sunday evening into Monday as the aforementioned front works its way through area. Meanwhile, the latest track forecast for Tropical Storm Beryl continues to keep the remnants to the east of our area after the cyclone makes landfall somewhere near Matagorda Bay. This unfortunately means that we`ll miss out on any significant rainfall associated with Beryl. Have continued to trend PoPs down for Tuesday through Thursday although cannot rule out a few showers and storms mainly across our eastern counties. Otherwise, temperatures will run a little cooler on Monday and Tuesday behind the front but will climb back into the mid to upper 90s by Thursday and Friday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1257 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon across the southern third of our area, with isolated convection farther north into the Concho Valley and Heartland. Localized gusty winds are possible in the showers and storms and with outflow boundaries emanating from the convection. Brief visibility and ceiling reductions are possible in the locally heavy rain accompanying the showers and storms. The KSOA and KJCT TAF sites are most likely to be affected, and carrying Tempo groups for those sites this afternoon. Mostly clear skies are expected tonight and Sunday. Patchy low cloud development could occur 12Z-15Z Sunday over parts of the I-10 corridor, and this could potentially result in MVFR ceilings at KSOA and KJCT. Southeast winds will veer to south overnight. Increased south or south-southwest winds are expected by mid-to-late morning Sunday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 91 73 98 72 / 20 10 0 20 San Angelo 95 73 101 74 / 30 20 0 10 Junction 93 72 97 72 / 50 20 10 0 Brownwood 91 71 96 72 / 20 10 10 10 Sweetwater 93 74 100 73 / 20 10 10 20 Ozona 92 71 97 73 / 30 20 0 0 Brady 90 71 94 72 / 40 20 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....42 AVIATION...19