Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FNUS75 KPUB 011322
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Spot Forecast for Unit 13 Pile...U.S. Fish & Wildlife
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
722 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on July 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Plan on mostly cloudy skies across the burn area today, with
scattered showers and thunderstorms through much of the day.
Surface winds will primarily be out of the south to southwest, but
expect gusty and erratic winds near any storms that do develop.
The main threat from any storms today will be cloud to ground
lightning and gusty winds up to 45 mph, but if the storms are
slow-moving then periods of heavy rain and flash-flooding will
become a threat.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....72-74F.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeasterly at 5 mph until 0900, then southwest
around 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 4000 ft agl until
                    1700, then 2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph until 1700, then northwest
                    around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1500, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  67  71  75  80  78  77  76  75  75
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............61  64  66  66  68  68  68  71  68  66
RH..............80  74  69  67  60  60  59  53  59  65
20 FT wind dir..SE  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   8   8   8   12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.9   13  13  13  17  17  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.5 4.0 4.5 4.5 5.0 4.5 3.5 3.5 2.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW  W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.7   8   10  10  13  14  12  13  12  10
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10009   17  37  42  49  58  43  39  36  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(66 percent) until 2100, then
                    partly cloudy(47 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy(53 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and thunderstorms until 2300.
LAL.................3 until 2300, then 1.
Min temperature.....49-51F.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 9 mph until 2100, then
                    southwest at 4 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms until 2300.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph until 1900, then
                    southwest around 8 mph until 0100, then west
                    around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  66  58  50  48  46  44  48  52  55  54  52
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  63  61  59  58  58  57  56  55  52  52  52
RH..............65  72  77  82  79  79  76  78  81  89  89  89
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   7   7   7   7   7   7   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  10  10  10  10  10  10  8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   8   9   9   7   8   6   7   6
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100020  11  7   5   5   6   6   5   5   4   5   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(34 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....80F.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest at 6 mph until 1200, then west around
12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 8500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 16 mph until 1400, then around 14
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    good until 1200, then very good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  39  29  18  24  30  36  39  42  45  45  46
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............51  53  56  61  66  70  74  76  79  80  80  79
RH..............93  86  80  67  54  45  40  36  31  28  29  30
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   7   7   7   10  10  10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   13  13  13  17  17  17  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 4.5 6.0 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 8.5 7.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   8   10  13  16  18  17  17  16  14  13
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10004   3   8   22  48  86  126 126 135 133 103 84

$$
Forecaster...EHR
Requested by...Tobey Bishop
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416985.0/PUB
.DELDT 07/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0