032
FNUS75 KPUB 062217
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for UNK Fire...Ft Carson
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
417 PM MDT Sat Jul 6 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on July 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Breezy southerly winds will continue into the evening with slow humidity
recovery until a cold front moves into the region Sunday morning.  Winds
will gradually decrease after midnight but will pick up again from the north
early Sunday as the front moves through.  Winds will remain breezy as they shift
from the northeast to east through Sun evening.  Increasing moisture will
bring a chance for showers and thunderstorms to the area.  Some could be
strong to severe Sun afternoon and evening, with wind gusts over 60 mph and
hail over 1 inch in diameter along with locally heavy rain and lightning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(28 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....92F.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10-20 mph.
Mixing height.......14500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1
Temp............92
RH..............14
20 FT wind dir..S
20 FT wind spd..13
20 FT wind gust.20
Eye lvl wnd dir.S
Eye lvl wnd spd.8
Eye lvl wnd gst.12
Mix hgt (kft)...15
Transp wind dir.W
Transp wind spd.18
Haines index....6
SDspl kt-ft/1000233

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....58F.
Max humidity........57-62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 12-22 mph until 2400, then
                    northwest 5-12 mph.
Mixing height.......12000 ft agl until 1900. 500 ft agl after 2000.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 14 mph until 2100, then south
                    around 13 mph until 2200, then west around 14
                    mph until 2400, then northwest.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1900, then very good until
                    2000, then poor.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........32  28  25  21  15  10  4   6   8   10  14  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............91  89  83  78  74  72  70  66  64  63  61  59
RH..............14  15  19  24  27  30  33  36  37  35  42  51
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.21  21  21  12  12  12  14  14  14  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   8   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.13  13  13  7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...12  7.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  S   S   W   W   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.18  16  13  13  15  15  17  16  15  15  13  14
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/1000193 100 8   7   8   8   9   9   8   7   7   7

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(42 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400 until
                    1600, then chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 3 until 1600, then 4.
Max temperature.....81F.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 11-22 mph until 1200, then
                    northeast. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after 1400.
Mixing height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph until 1500, then northeast
                    around 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  26  30  35  39  44  48  49  50  50  57  63
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH CHC CHC
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   4   4
Temp............58  62  65  68  70  73  76  77  79  81  80  79
RH..............62  58  56  54  53  48  43  40  36  33  35  38
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17  22  22  22  22  22  22  23  23  23
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  13  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.5 6.0 6.5 6.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.15  16  18  17  17  16  16  16  15  15  16  17
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100019  18  34  38  45  49  57  66  72  78  91  94

$$
Forecaster...TORGERSON
Requested by...Matt Soiland
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417533.0/PUB
.DELDT 07/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0