Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
894 FNUS55 KPSR 032029 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 101 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024 .DISCUSSION... Drier conditions will continue to filter into the region through Thursday leaving only slight chances for some showers and maybe a weak thunderstorm across the eastern Arizona high terrain this afternoon. Rain chances will generally come to an end altogether starting Thursday. As conditions continue to dry out, hotter temperatures are expected with excessive heat spreading eastward through much of Arizona. MinRH values across the lower deserts will fall to around 15% today, while higher terrain areas east of Phoenix see 20-25%. Even lower RHs are expected Thursday into Friday. Winds will follow diurnal trends, occasionally gusting to 20 mph during the afternoon hours. The combination of the very hot and dry conditions will lead to an increased fire danger threat. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-040815- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 101 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................79-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................45-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 13 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................80-90. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................29-48 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................110-116. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................6-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 109-115. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 107-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 110-116. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 110-116. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 108-114. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-040815- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 101 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024 /101 PM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................79-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................52-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................19 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................110-115. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming northeast 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-55 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................115-120. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................6-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming northwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........10700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........North 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 79-85. Highs 113-118. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 111-116. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 114-119. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 113-118. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 112-117. $$ AZZ133-040815- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 101 PM MST Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................66-81. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................48-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-108. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................11-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................67-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................29-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................17 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-83. Highs 94-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-83. Highs 93-107. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-84. Highs 95-110. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 93-109. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 92-108. $$ CAZ232-040815- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 101 PM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................79-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-116. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................82-89. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................19-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................111-120. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................4-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 80-88. Highs 109-118. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-87. Highs 108-117. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 110-120. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 82-89. Highs 110-119. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-89. Highs 107-117. $$ CAZ230-040815- Joshua Tree National Park- 101 PM PDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................74-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................24-33 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................98-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................78-87. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................17-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming northeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-114. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................4-8 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 76-85. Highs 100-114. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 76-87. Highs 101-116. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 76-87. Highs 100-115. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 98-112. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Thursday July 11th through Saturday July 13th: Above normal temperatures and median precipitation.