Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
510 FNUS55 KPSR 191000 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 300 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024 .DISCUSSION... Scattered thunderstorms will be common across mainly high terrain areas of eastern districts through Saturday. While some wetting rainfall will be possible, gusty outflow winds will be more frequent with these storms. Winds outside of the influence of thunderstorms will exhibit typical afternoon upslope tendencies with gusts 20 to 25 mph. Minimum humidity levels will mostly range from 15-25% following a wide range of overnight recovery from 20% in western districts to 75% in the far east. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-192200- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 300 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................108-114. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................15-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................85-95. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-115. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 80-90. Highs 107-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 80-90. Highs 103-110. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 105-111. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 105-111. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 103-110. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-192200- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 300 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024 /300 AM PDT Fri Jul 19 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................110-115. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................16-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........10200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................85-90. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................112-117. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........10500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-90. Highs 109-114. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 84-90. Highs 107-112. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 85-90. Highs 107-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 86-91. Highs 108-113. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 86-91. Highs 108-113. $$ AZZ133-192200- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 300 AM MST Fri Jul 19 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................92-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 40 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................68-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................43-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................93-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 40 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 63-85. Highs 91-107. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-84. Highs 86-102. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-84. Highs 89-105. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-84. Highs 90-105. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-84. Highs 90-104. $$ CAZ232-192200- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 300 AM PDT Fri Jul 19 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-115. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................13-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................85-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................23-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-116. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-91. Highs 105-114. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 82-91. Highs 103-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 86-91. Highs 103-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 85-92. Highs 104-114. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-92. Highs 104-114. $$ CAZ230-192200- Joshua Tree National Park- 300 AM PDT Fri Jul 19 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................95-109. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................14-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................75-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................22-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................97-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 73-88. Highs 96-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 73-88. Highs 94-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 76-88. Highs 94-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 76-88. Highs 95-109. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74-87. Highs 96-109. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday July 26th through Sunday July 28th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.