Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
775 FNUS55 KPSR 200945 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 245 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 .DISCUSSION... Thunderstorm coverage will generally expand from higher terrain areas of eastern districts into lower elevations through the weekend. While some beneficial wetting rainfall will be possible, strong gusty outflow winds will be more prevalent impacting any ongoing fires or new starts. Aside from thunderstorms, winds across the region should maintain afternoon upslope flow with gusts 20 to 25 mph. Minimum humidity levels will mostly range from 15-25% following a wide range of overnight recovery from 20% in western districts to 75% in the far east. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-202145- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 245 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................108-115. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................83-93. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................106-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......3900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......North 20 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 104-111. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 105-110. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 106-111. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 83-93. Highs 104-111. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 104-111. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-202145- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 245 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 /245 AM PDT Sat Jul 20 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................112-117. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........9000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................85-90. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-55 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................108-113. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................19-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 13 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-91. Highs 108-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 86-91. Highs 108-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 86-91. Highs 108-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 86-91. Highs 108-113. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-90. Highs 108-113. $$ AZZ133-202145- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 245 AM MST Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................94-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 40 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening becoming slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................66-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................49-73 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * LAL.............................3 in the evening becoming 2 after midnight. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny in the morning becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................90-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................23-34 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 60 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 64-84. Highs 87-103. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-85. Highs 90-105. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-85. Highs 91-106. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-84. Highs 90-104. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers. Lows 65-84. Highs 88-103. $$ CAZ232-202145- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 245 AM PDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-117. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................84-90. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-57 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-91. Highs 104-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 85-92. Highs 103-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 85-92. Highs 104-114. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-92. Highs 104-114. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 104-114. $$ CAZ230-202145- Joshua Tree National Park- 245 AM PDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................97-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................76-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................25-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74-88. Highs 94-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 76-88. Highs 95-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 76-88. Highs 96-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-88. Highs 96-109. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-87. Highs 95-109. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday July 27th through Monday July 29th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.