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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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797 FXUS64 KOHX 020144 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 844 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 835 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024 Another incredible night is on tap. Cool temperatures, low dew points and clear skies. If you want the windows open for some fresh air, tonight`s the night because these amazing conditions are going away starting tomorrow. The heat and Heat Index values will start building again due to southerly boundary layer flow. Look for highs in the low 90s with HI values nearing triple digits tomorrow afternoon. It will be dry again, but PoPs creep back into the forecast on Wednesday. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Tuesday) Issued at 1124 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024 What a day! Temperatures are sitting in the 70s to lower 80s with dew points in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Take it all in because this is it. We are back to our regularly scheduled summer tomorrow. The upper high will slide back east overnight and reassert its dominance starting tomorrow. Highs will be back in the 90s west of the plateau with dew points getting into the 70s again. We will remain PoPless through the short term forecast. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday Night through next Monday) Issued at 1124 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024 The ridge remains intact to start the long term period. A couple scattered storms will be possible starting Wednesday afternoon. There appears to be some weakness along the northern fringes of the ridge Thursday and Friday which should allow storm coverage to be higher. Like the last forecast package, the NBM PoPs Thursday and Friday seem to be on the high side, so they were nudged down. All of the fireworks and cookouts will not be a wash out on Thursday, but there will certainly be some scattered activity to dodge. A weak front looks like it will make a pass through the area late Friday into Saturday bringing another temporary pause to the nasty heat. The front won`t be as refreshing as the one we have today, but highs will be knocked down into the 80s for most of the area on Saturday. In regards to any heat products this week, we will be below criteria today and tomorrow. Heat index values look like they`ll creep up above the 105 threshold on Wednesday and likely again on Thursday depending on storm coverage. A heat advisory will likely be needed for Wednesday at least along and west of I-65 and again on Thursday. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 634 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024 VFR conditions expected to prevail over the TAF period. Winds overnight will be light and generally NNE, slowly shifting to southerly winds by mid-morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 64 93 76 97 / 0 0 0 20 Clarksville 60 92 75 94 / 0 0 10 30 Crossville 59 86 66 88 / 0 0 0 10 Columbia 61 93 74 96 / 0 0 10 20 Cookeville 61 88 70 90 / 0 0 0 10 Jamestown 60 87 68 89 / 0 0 0 10 Lawrenceburg 60 92 73 94 / 0 0 10 20 Murfreesboro 62 94 74 97 / 0 0 0 20 Waverly 60 93 75 94 / 0 0 10 20 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ UPDATE.......Unger SHORT TERM...Reagan LONG TERM....Reagan AVIATION.....Segadi