213
FNUS72 KMLB 031631
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Atlantic Ridge C2...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1231 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Update: The east coast sea breeze has pushed west
of the burn site so east winds are forecast the remainder of this
afternoon. Storms may develop west of the burn site during the mid
to late afternoon over western Martin county as the sea breeze collides
with the Lake Okeechobee breeze boundary. While rain and lightning
should remain west of the burn site, outflow from these storms may
reach back to the burn site and produce a westerly wind shift early
this evening.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 1700, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....35.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 2 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  38  33  29  24  20
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   2
Temp............90  91  91  90  90  90
RH..............68  66  66  66  66  64
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.12  14  16  15  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  10  10  10
Dispersion idx..31  33  39  38  38  37
LVORI...........3   3   2   2   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 2000, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 9 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....36 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 5 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........18     14     19     25     33     14
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     0      0      0
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............89     84     82     81     79     79
RH..............66     77     79     79     85     83
20 ft wind......E 9    E 6    SE 3   SE 2   SE 1   E 1
20 ft wind gust.14     13     10     8      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   900    600    600    600    500
Transport wind..E 12   E 10   SE 9   SE 7   SE 7   SE 5
Dispersion idx..36     5      4      3      3      2
LVORI...........2      4      4      5      5      5

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 9 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 34.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........25        27        29        30
Weather cov.....                              CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        10        30
LAL.............1         1         1         3
Temp............78        84        90        91
RH..............88        78        62        60
20 FT wind......N 1G6     E 2G7     E 7G10    E 9G14
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1600      3400      3400
Transport wind..E 5       E 5       E 7       E 8
Dispersion idx..2         10        26        35
LVORI...........6         4         2         1

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...Miranda Cunningham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417213.2/MLB
.DELDT 07/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL miranda.cunningham@floridadep.gov