668
FXUS62 KMLB 051348
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
948 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 927 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

Hot conditions today, with a Heat Advisory set to go into effect
from Noon to 6pm today across much of the interior. In the
Advisory area, heat indices are forecast up to 110 degrees.
Elsewhere, peak heat indices 105-107 degrees. Use caution if
spending time outdoors today. Be sure to stay hydrated and take
frequent breaks, preferably in an air conditioned space. High
temperatures are forecast in the lower to mid-90s.

Some relief may come in the mid to late afternoon, with scattered
showers and storms developing along the sea breeze collision. A
slightly dominate east coast sea breeze will lead to a collision
on the west-central area of the peninsula, however PoPs forecast
around 30-50% over interior portions of the forecast area. Made a
slight adjustment during the update this morning to decrease PoPs
to 20% or less along the coast east of I-95. The main threats with
any storms today will be gusty winds up to 45 mph, frequent lightning
strikes, and locally heavy rain that could lead to minor, nuisance
flooding. Activity should persist through around sunset before
diminishing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 651 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

VFR forecast outside of storms. The sea breeze pattern will
continue with scat`d afternoon showers/storms inland. VCSH begins
for all sites at 17Z. VCTS starts at 19Z for inland locations
with TEMPO TSRA between 19Z-23Z. Shower/storm chances diminish
after sunset. Light and variable winds during the overnight/morning
increase from the E at 5-10kts into the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 302 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

Generally favorable boating conditions continue thru the holiday
weekend and into early next week. Seas mainly 2-3 ft. The pressure
gradient will remain fairly weak supporting a daily sea breeze
regime. Outside of this, winds likely to be light/variable and
generally AOB 10 kts. ISOLD-SCT showers and lightning storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  92  76  92  76 /  20  10  30  10
MCO  94  76  95  76 /  50  20  50  10
MLB  91  76  91  77 /  20  10  30  10
VRB  91  75  92  76 /  10  10  30  10
LEE  94  78  95  78 /  50  30  50  20
SFB  94  76  95  77 /  50  20  40  10
ORL  94  76  95  78 /  50  20  50  10
FPR  91  74  92  76 /  20  10  30  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for FLZ044>046-053-058-
     144-254-259-264.

AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Leahy
AVIATION...Fehling