Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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573 FXUS62 KMLB 040117 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 917 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 801 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 VFR conditions outside of TAFs through the period. Activity is diminishing this evening with some activity lingering south of LEE and west of MCO/ISM. Have VCTS lingering across inland terminals through 02/03Z. Otherwise, mostly dry overnight with light and variable winds across all terminals. Light south/southeast winds will increase to 5-10 KT by mid morning. The east coast sea breeze will form and push inland in the afternoon, veering winds easterly. VCSH starting around 17Z across all terminals. Have VCTS starting from MLB northward starting around 18/19Z. Winds will then become light and variable once again Thursday overnight. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFs) Issued at 143 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 VCSH/VCTS along and ahead of the east coast sea breeze this afternoon, gradually clearing at the coastal terminals. TEMPOs included at MCO/ISM (21/23Z) and LEE (22/24Z) where there is the greatest confidence in TSRA impacts. Coverage of showers and storms across the interior are forecast to diminish after 02/03Z. South to southeast winds become east with the passage of the sea breeze, generally remaining around 10 kts or less. Light and variable winds tonight. && .MARINE... Issued at 235 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 A high pressure axis will hold north of Florida through Friday, leading to light daytime SE breezes up to 10 KT (locally enhanced at the coast during the afternoon). Winds become light SW late in the overnight hours. The high pressure axis will settle southward through the local Atlantic this weekend, with light (5-12 KT) S/SE winds by day turning offshore at night. Seas 2-3 FT through the period, with a light to moderate chop over the Intracoastal. A few showers or isolated storms are forecast during the overnight and early morning hours offshore, shifting closer to the coast in the late morning and early afternoon hours. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 77 92 76 91 / 20 50 10 30 MCO 77 94 76 94 / 30 70 10 40 MLB 78 92 77 91 / 10 40 10 40 VRB 76 92 76 91 / 10 30 10 40 LEE 78 94 78 94 / 40 70 20 50 SFB 77 94 77 94 / 30 70 10 40 ORL 78 94 78 94 / 30 70 10 40 FPR 76 92 76 91 / 10 30 10 40 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Watson AVIATION...Law