Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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171 ACUS11 KWNS 062220 SWOMCD SPC MCD 062220 KSZ000-062315- Mesoscale Discussion 1547 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0520 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024 Areas affected...southwest Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 062220Z - 062315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will propagate south across western Kansas this evening. New severe thunderstorm watch will likely be issued soon. DISCUSSION...An upward-evolving squall line has developed across western KS just ahead of the primary synoptic front that is surging south across the central high Plains. Northwesterly mid-level flow will increase across western KS this evening and latest model guidance favors a marked increase in the LLJ from the TX Panhandle into southwest KS. This strongly supports a long-lived MCS that should progress across southwest KS with an attendant risk for wind/hail. ..Darrow/Hart.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 38320113 38699908 37219819 37170095 38320113