482
FXUS64 KLZK 051939
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
239 PM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

A broad trof of low pressure will persist across the central section
of the US through the period. The cold front that pushed thru
Arkansas will stall out south of the state, and a few lingering
showers and thunderstorms may occur in the vicinity of the front
overnight into tomororow, possibly affecting the southernmost parts
of the forecast area.

Saturday should bring pleasant weather to the bulk of the forecast
area, as high pressure settles into the area.

The front will begin moving back to the north as a warm front on
Sunday, and showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the
southern half of the area by Sunday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

H500 troughing will persist across the middle/eastern parts of the
country through much of the long term period with ridging noted
across the West as well as along the SE coast. This will provide a
persistent W-NW flow locally and encourage a steady stream of
disturbances across the state.

Early next week a front will move into the state and stall over the
area. This stalled front will help focus activity near and along it.
Periodic rain chances remain in the forecast, with much of the
activity likely diurnally driven. By the middle of next week,
moisture associated with the remnants of Beryl will approach the
state and could potentially influence rainfall amounts. Main area of
concern remains difficult to pinpoint this far out, but will
continue to monitor with future model runs.

One thing that seems likely during the period is below normal
temperatures. Highs in the upper 80s F to lower 90s F would be well
received in early to mid-July along with overnight lows below 70 F
in many areas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     68  90  68  93 /   0   0   0  10
Camden AR         70  91  70  92 /  20  10   0  30
Harrison AR       63  89  66  92 /   0   0   0  10
Hot Springs AR    71  92  69  93 /  10  10   0  20
Little Rock   AR  73  91  71  93 /   0   0   0  10
Monticello AR     73  92  73  92 /  20  10   0  30
Mount Ida AR      68  90  67  91 /  10  10   0  20
Mountain Home AR  65  88  66  91 /   0   0   0  10
Newport AR        68  90  69  92 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     71  91  70  91 /  10  10   0  20
Russellville AR   70  91  69  92 /   0   0   0  10
Searcy AR         69  90  69  93 /   0   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      71  89  71  91 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 5 PM CDT this afternoon for ARZ065-068-069.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM....67