211
FXUS64 KLZK 060547
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1247 AM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

A broad trof of low pressure will persist across the central section
of the US through the period. The cold front that pushed thru
Arkansas will stall out south of the state, and a few lingering
showers and thunderstorms may occur in the vicinity of the front
overnight into tomorrow, possibly affecting the southernmost
parts of the forecast area.

Saturday should bring pleasant weather to the bulk of the forecast
area, as high pressure settles into the area.

The front will begin moving back to the north as a warm front on
Sunday, and showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the
southern half of the area by Sunday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

H500 troughing will persist across the middle/eastern parts of the
country through much of the long term period with ridging noted
across the West as well as along the SE coast. This will provide a
persistent W-NW flow locally and encourage a steady stream of
disturbances across the state.

Early next week a front will move into the state and stall over the
area. This stalled front will help focus activity near and along it.
Periodic rain chances remain in the forecast, with much of the
activity likely diurnally driven. By the middle of next week,
moisture associated with the remnants of Beryl will approach the
state and could potentially influence rainfall amounts. Main area of
concern remains difficult to pinpoint this far out, but will
continue to monitor with future model runs.

One thing that seems likely during the period is below normal
temperatures. Highs in the upper 80s F to lower 90s F would be well
received in early to mid-July along with overnight lows below 70 F
in many areas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024

VFR conds are expected through the TAF period. Mid/high clouds
will be noted at most terminals. Winds will be out of the E at
around 10 kts or less on Sat.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     90  68  93  71 /   0   0  10  20
Camden AR         91  70  92  72 /  10   0  30  20
Harrison AR       89  66  92  68 /   0   0  10  30
Hot Springs AR    92  69  93  72 /  10   0  20  20
Little Rock   AR  91  71  93  75 /   0   0  10  20
Monticello AR     92  73  92  74 /  10   0  30  20
Mount Ida AR      90  67  91  69 /  10   0  20  30
Mountain Home AR  88  66  91  69 /   0   0  10  20
Newport AR        90  69  92  72 /   0   0   0  20
Pine Bluff AR     91  70  91  74 /  10   0  20  20
Russellville AR   91  69  92  72 /   0   0  10  30
Searcy AR         90  69  93  72 /   0   0  10  20
Stuttgart AR      89  71  91  74 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...70