460
FNUS76 KLOX 060730
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Lake Fire...Los Padres NF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1230 AM PDT Sat Jul 6 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Prolonged period of hot and dry conditions will persist through at
least midweek across interior Santa Barbara County. For the forecast
period, temperatures are expected to remain higher than normal
through the nights with poor overnight humidity recoveries,
generally remaining below 30 percent. Saturday and Sunday are
expected to have very similar conditions. Across western and lower
elevations of the fire, afternoon temperatures could be 5 degrees
lower than forecast, humidities may be 10 percent higher, and winds
may be 5 mph stronger. Timing of exact changes in wind conditions
could be off by 2 hours.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....100-106.
Min humidity........8-12 percent, except 12-20 percent below 2000 feet.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5-7 mph shifting to the west
                    4-6 mph after 1300.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10-13 mph shifting to the west
                    8-12 mph after 1300.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds 10-13 mph shifting to the northwest
                    10-15 mph after 1300.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL rising to 15000 ft AGL by 1000.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 mph becoming north to northwest 10 mph after 1300.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....79-84.
Max humidity........15-20 percent, except 20-25 percent below 2000 feet.
Eye level winds.....West winds 4-6 mph in the evening shifting to
the northeast 2-4 mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8-12 mph in the evening shifting to the
northeast 5-8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 10-15 mph shifting north to northeast
12-16 mph with gusts to 20 mph after 2300.
Mixing height.......15000 ft AGL lowering to 1000 ft AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....North to northwest 10-15 mph.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....97-103.
Min humidity........10-15 percent, except 15-23 percent below 2000 feet.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 2-4 mph shifting west 5-7 mph after 1100.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5-8 mph shifting west 10-14 mph after 1100.
Ridgetop wind.......North to northeast winds 10-15 mph shifting northwest
8-12 mph after 1300.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL rising to 17000 ft AGL by 1000.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph becoming northwest after 1300.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....76-81.
Max humidity........15-20 percent, except 20-25 percent below 2000 feet.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5-7 mph shifting to the north to
                    northeast 2-4 mph after 2300.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10-14 mph shifting to the north to
                    northeast 5-8 mph after 2300.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 8-12 mph shifting north
6-10 mph after 0100.
Mixing height.......17000 ft AGL lowering to 1000 ft AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph, becoming north 8-12 mph after midnight.

$$
Forecaster...BRUNO/LUND
Requested by...Jeremy Camacho
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417505.0/LOX
.DELDT 07/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jjcamach@countyofsb.org