102
FXUS61 KILN 061421
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1021 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build across the area offering dry weather
through the weekend into early next week. The next threat for
showers and thunderstorms will occur Tuesday as moisture
increases on the backside of retreating high pressure.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Forecast is on track. Cumulus is starting to develop, especially
across the north. Some cirrus will streak across the region from
southwest to northeast. Highs will be in the lower to mid 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
Surface high pressure build over the area tonight. This will
keep conditions dry under a mostly clear sky. Low temperatures
to range from the upper 50s to the lower/middle 60s.

Surface high pressure centered over the area Sunday morning will
begin to shift off to the east Sunday. Dry conditions will
continue with the beginning of a warming trend. High
temperatures to range from the mid 80s to the upper 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Surface high pressure shifts east of the Ohio Vally Sunday night
into Monday. Southerly flow develops west of the high which will
allow for heat and humidity to return to the region. Monday may end
up being the hottest day of the week with forecast highs in the
lower 90s.

Temperatures take a step back on Tuesday and Wednesday when an upper
level shortwave and weak surface front moves through. Showers and
thunderstorms will be possible especially in the afternoons when
diurnal instability peaks. Winds shift to the west and then the
north at some point on Tuesday night behind the boundary.

Winds likely remain out of the north or northeast through the end of
the work week. Rain chances dropoff since the remnants of Hurricane
Beryl are expected remain south of the Ohio Valley. Despite
northerly or easterly winds, forecast highs are still expected to
reach well into the 80s Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
In the wake of a surface cold front drier air will filter into
the area on westerly winds. The drier conditions will offer VFR
conditions for most locations today into this evening.

Expect to see the formation of a VFR cumulus field during the
afternoon. These shallow clouds will dissipate before sunset
with continued VFR conditions into this evening. Winds will
become light and variable overnight with the surface high
becoming centered over the region. Expect some MVFR fog at KILN
and KLCK with IFR vsby restrictions likely at the KLUK valley
location.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...Campbell
AVIATION...AR