Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
525
FNUS52 KILM 070729
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
329 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and storms expected again late this afternoon into this
evening. Coverage will be isolated near the coast increasing to
scattered/widespread west of I-95. Temps will a bit above normal
through the work week with good coverage of diurnal storms,
especially inland.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-072330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
329 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 20 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 92 73 92
Min/Max RH (%) 54 100 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.09 0.02 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0800 2000 79/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4600
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45000 46000
ADI Early 34 Fair 40 Fair 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-072330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
329 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 93 74 93
Min/Max RH (%) 53 99 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.09 0.04 0.08
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 10 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4800
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40500 48000
ADI Early 32 Fair 29 Fair 35 Fair
ADI Late 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-072330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
329 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 2 3
Max/Min Temp 92 73 91
Min/Max RH (%) 54 100 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.09
Precip Duration 1 0 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0800 2100 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4000
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41000 40000
ADI Early 35 Fair 42 Gen Good 33 Fair
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 9
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-072330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
329 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 92 73 92
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.08 0.06 0.14
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing 9 AM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2100 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4300
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44000 38700
ADI Early 25 Fair 36 Fair 24 Fair
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 4 9
Max LVORI Late 2 8 2
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance
of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW